NFL

Your team-by-team guide to the NFL season

The Post’s preview and predictions for all 32 NFL teams.

AFC East

1. Patriots: 10-6

Deflategate Deshmategate, 12 games of Brady and 16 games of Belichick are still too much.

Coach: Bill Belichick
2015 Record: 12-4
Over/Under wins: 10.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 7-1

First-and-goal: Belichick had no interest in getting Aaron Hernandez a get-out-of-jail free card, so he signed Martellus Bennett to team with Rob Gronkowski for his new two-headed tight-end monster, a nice change of pace to slippery WR Julian Edelman. WR Chris Hogan is a big target. DEs Jabaal Sheard and Chris Long supply the pass rush for a smart, tough, disciplined defense brimming with playmakers (LB Jamie Collins, S Devin McCourty, CB Malcolm Butler). If OLB Barkevious Mingo ever flourishes, it will be here. PK Stephen Gostkowski is the Belichick of place-kickers. You’d think seven consecutive division titles would bring complacency, but think again. Party on, Gronk.

Fourth-and-long: Jimmy Garoppolo opens the season at quarterback while Deflategate Tom gets to spend quality time at home with Gisele. You’d think that would put him in a good mood, but think again. He’ll be seeing Roger Goodell in his sleep. And hide the scissors, please. Forget any 4-0 start. And Deflategate Tom is 39 now. Father Time can intercept any quarterback at any time. RB Dion Lewis (knee) will miss at least the first six weeks. HC of the NEP and DC Matt Patricia need Sheard to replace traded DE Chandler Jones’ 12.5 sacks. Edelman needs to stay healthy.

2. Jets: 9-7

Oh, those first six games.

Coach: Todd Bowles
2015 Record: 10-6
Over/Under wins: 8
Odds to win Super Bowl: 66-1

Bilal PowellAP

First-and-goal: $12 million man Ryan Fitzpatrick is throwing to WRs Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker and RB Matt Forte out of the backfield in a system he loves. C Nick Mangold is indispensable. RB Bilal Powell is The Best Back Nobody Knows. DLs Muhammad Wilkerson, Sheldon Richardson and Leonard Williams lead the defense up front, with CB Darrelle Revis in the back and ILB David Harris quarterbacking it all. No. 1 pick ILB Darron Lee adds much-needed speed. SS Calvin Pryor is an intimidator. Bowles is solid. The great Mike Westhoff likes new special teams coach Brant Boyer.

Fourth-and-long: Will Snacks Harrison be missed, or was Steve McLendon a free-agent coup? Can CB Buster Skrine hold the fort opposite Revis? Will OLB Lorenzo Mauldin and/or rookie OLB Jordan Jenkins juice the pass rush? Will someone, anyone give Fitzpatrick a tight end option? Will rookie Lachlan Edwards be the answer at punter? Who plays ILB next to Harris? Can Marcus Williams intercept six passes again?

3. Bills: 8-8

Rex’s Last Stand.

Coach: Rex Ryan
2015 Record: 8-8
Over/Under wins: 8
Odds to win Super Bowl: 75-1

First-and-goal:
QB Tyrod Taylor got his $90 million contract, now all he has to do is lead the Bills to their first playoff game since Jan. 8, 2000. WR Sammy Watkins is recovering nicely from offseason foot surgery, and RB LeSean McCoy is dangerous as long as he can stay on the field and jitterbug behind the left side of Rex’s Ground and Pound offensive line. DE Jerry Hughes had a subpar year, but has proven he can bring the heat, while CBs Ronald Darby and Stephon Gilmore make a formidable tandem.

Fourth-and-long:
It’s Put Up Or Shut Up for Rex, who won’t shut up no matter what happens. DT Marcell Dareus serves a four-game suspension. No. 1 pick OLB Shaq Lawson (shoulder surgery) won’t help for a while, and second-round MLB Reggie Ragland (ACL) won’t help until 2017. So Hughes rushes the passer by his lonesome until Rex figures out how to produce more than 21 sacks. The right side of the offensive line is problematic. Rex might be better off plugging in twin brother Rob somewhere. RB Reggie Bush was signed after Karlos Williams’ suspension and subsequent release, so McCoy better stay healthy.

4. Dolphins: 7-9

Ryan Tannehill has to be better with Adam Gase, doesn’t he?

Coach: Adam Gase
2015 Record: 6-10
Over/Under wins: 7
Odds to win Super Bowl: 75-1

Dolphins coach Adam Gase (left) talks with quarterback Ryan Tannehill on the sideline of a preseason game.AP

First-and-goal: Rookie head coach Gase provides long-lost leadership, and is a quarterback whisperer who should be music to Ryan Tannehill’s enigmatic ears. Gase worked well with Peyton Manning and wonders with Jay Cutler. WR Jarvis Landry has a chance to catch 110 balls again, just ask his old LSU buddy Odell Beckham Jr. Especially if 2015 first-round pick DeVante Parker emerges and TE Jordan Cameron recaptures 2014 form. S Reshad Jones is Pro Bowl caliber. If sack machine DE Cameron Wake is all the way back from his Achilles tear, DE Mario Williams will have a better chance for a change-of-scenery rebound on a defensive line that would be all the more intimidating with DT Ndamukong Suh.

Fourth-and-long: Tannehill has been the latest Fish quarterback who hasn’t made the locals stop yearning for Dan Marino, and no one at Shula’s Steakhouse has empathy for his 184 career sacks. It’s Put Up or Shut Up. No. 1 pick LG Laremy Tunsil has taken his gas-mask talents to South Beach, but he’s making a transition from tackle. RB Lamar Miller rushed off to Houston, and can Arian Foster stay healthy and help Jay Ajayi? The back seven is iffy, especially at cornerback, where there is no sure thing opposite Byron Maxwell, which is never a good thing in this pass-crazed NFL. But at least Miko Grimes and her Twitter outbursts are gone. The first two games: at Seattle, at New England. But at least Brady won’t be playing.

AFC North

1. Steelers: 10-6

A Steel Certain: Big Ben throwing, Antonio Brown catching.

Coach: Mike Tomlin
2015 Record: 10-6
Over/Under wins: 10.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 10-1

Antonio BrownGetty Images

First-and-goal: A healthy, rested Big Ben Roethlisberger has one advantage no other quarterback has: he gets to throw to Antonio Brown. Glass half-full: RB Le’Veon Bell serves a three-game suspension, but 13 games of Le’Veon Bell is better than 16 games of virtually every other back. Veteran RB DeAngelo Williams is a quality hold-the-fort backup. C Maurkice Pouncey is healthy again. The Steel Curtain is loaded with young No. 1 picks: LBs Lawrence Timmons, Jarvis Jones, and Ryan Shazier. Mike Tomlin is a stud. OLB James Harrison doesn’t know he’s 38.

Fourth-and-long: Deep threat WR Martavis Bryant won’t return until 2017, and Markus Wheaton, Eli Rogers and Sammie Coates try to pick up the slack. Glass half-empty: Bell misses three games. TE Ladarius Green (foot, concussion) was supposed to replace retired Heath Miller, but Jesse James has to step up. Can LT Alejandro Villanueva keep Big Ben upright with Kelvin Beachum gone? Can No. 1 pick CB Artie Burns and No. 2 pick Sean Davis help upgrade the 30th-ranked pass defense? The less said about special teams the better.

2. Bengals: 8-8

One of these years Marvin Lewis won’t be a terrific regular-season coach.

Coach: Marvin Lewis
2015 Record: 12-4
Over/Under wins: 9.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 20-1

First-and-goal: Andy Dalton is a Red Rifle during the regular season and just entering his prime. A.J. Green will be a target hog and a cinch for his sixth consecutive 1,000-yard season. Rookie WR Tyler Boyd appears primed to help replace Marvin Jones. The offensive line remains elite. RB Giovani Bernard will catch 50 balls out of the backfield if counterpart Jeremy Hill doesn’t rebound from a disappointing 2015. DT Geno Atkins remains a beast, DE Carlos Dunlap (13.5 sacks) gets after the quarterback and big S George Iloka is an ascending player.

Fourth-and-long: OC Hue Jackson is in Cleveland, Jones is in Detroit and Mohamed Sanu is in Atlanta, while incoming WR Brandon LaFell has teased in previous stops. TE Tyler Eifert will be missed in the red zone while he recovers from ankle surgery. The playoff meltdown against the Steelers shined a light on a disturbing lack of discipline from LB Vontaze Burfict, who will be serving a three-game suspension, and CB Pacman Jones. No. 1 pick CB William Jackson III (pectoral surgery) will miss significant time. FS Shawn Williams replaces Reggie Nelson, who takes his eight interceptions to Oakland.

3. Ravens: 7-9

Does Joe Flacco have enough weapons, and are the 30-something pass rushers in decline?

Coach: John Harbaugh
2015 Record: 5-11
Over/Under wins: 8.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 40-1

Joe FlaccoAP

First-and-goal: Harbaugh is an elite head coach who suffered his first losing season in large part because of an injury epidemic that Tom Coughlin would understand. QB Joe Flacco is back from ACL surgery. WR Kamar Aiken was a pleasant surprise in 2015. The pass rush is in the hands of veterans Terrell Suggs, back from an ACL, and Elvis Dumervil. S Eric Weddle may not be the young Ed Reed, but he was a free-agent coup in a division with Antonio Brown and A.J. Green. ILB C.J. Mosley will exceed 100 tackles again replacing departed Daryl Smith as the Mike linebacker. DTs Timmy Jernigan and Brandon Williams are ascending.

Fourth-and-long: WR Steve Smith is 37 and coming off an ACL for his swan song. 2015 No. 1 pick WR Breshad Perriman will be rusty after missing his rookie season (right knee). WR Mike Wallace is looking for a home again as a deep threat. The tight-end position was loaded with Ben Watson, Crockett Gilmore and Maxx Williams — until Watson (Achilles) was lost for the season. 2016 No. 1 pick T Ronnie Stanley replaces Eugene Monroe, but LG Kelechi Osemele leaving in free agency for Oakland is a big loss. The pass defense surrendered 30 TDs with just six INTs.

4. Browns: 3-13

A shame Hue Jackson doesn’t get to coach the rookie RG3.

Coach: Hue Jackson
2015 Record: 3-13
Over/Under wins: 4.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 150-1

First-and-goal: Hue Jackson is an offensive guru and at least Robert Griffin III isn’t Johnny Manziel. Elusive RB Duke Johnson should be a dynamic option out of the backfield and a nice complement to Isaiah Crowell. Indestructible LT Joe Thomas is Joe Thomas. No. 1 pick WR Corey Coleman will keep defensive coordinators up at night. Troubled-but-talented WR Josh Gordon gets a last chance if he can stay clean. Late bloomer Gary Barnidge was a revelation and one of four tight ends to exceed 1,000 receiving yards. 2015 No. 1 pick DT Danny Shelton is an enforcer. CB Joe Haden needs a comeback season. Ex-Met exec Paul DePodesta brings Moneyball to Lake Erie. It’s worth a shot, don’t you think? LeBron and the Cavs will deflect attention.

Fourth-and-long:
RG3 is a one-year wonder until proven otherwise. The pectoral injury to DE Desmond Bryant (six sacks) won’t help a pass rush that recorded just 29 sacks last season. Trial and error for rookie DEs Emmanuel Ogbah and Carl Nassib. Someone has to replace safeties Tashaun Gipson and Donte Whitmer in the rebuilt secondary. The departures of C Alex Mack and RT Mitchell Schwartz are problematic. 2015 first-round pick Cameron Erving replaces Mack. Gordon will be serving a four-game suspension.

AFC South

1. Colts: 10-6

Andrew Luck is healthy again, and on a mission.

Coach: Chuck Pagano
2015 Record: 8-8
Over/Under wins: 9.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 22-1

Andrew LuckGetty Images

First-and-goal: $140 million man Andrew Luck is healthy and obsessed with a comeback season. WRs T.Y. Hilton and Donte Moncrief should expect help from 2015 No. 1 pick WR Philip Dorsett. 2016 first-round pick C Ryan Kelly anchors a solid left side of the offensive line that will feature LG Jack Mewhort and LT Anthony Costanzo once Mewhort (knee) likely returns in two weeks. OLB Robert Mathis is 35, but he can rush quarterbacks in his sleep. CBs Vontae Davis and Patrick Robinson form a nice tandem, with Antonio Cromartie looking to rebound in reserve. DE Henry Anderson will complement Kendall Langford (ACL) when he returns. PK Adam Vinatieri, only 43, can probably kick until he’s 50. The schedule offers the chance for a fast start.

Fourth-and-long: RB Frank Gore tries to become the club’s first 1,000-yard rusher since Joseph Addai in 2007, but he’s 33. Luck will miss TE Coby Fleener and must rely more on Dwayne Allen. DE Arthur Jones serves a four-game suspension. Retired backup QB Matt Hasselbeck will be missed. ILB Jerrell Freeman (Bears) won’t be easily replaced, and OLB Trent Cole turns 34 in October. Inexperienced FS Clayton Geathers is slated to replace Dwight Lowery, and Pro Bowl SS Mike Adams is 35. Three punt returns for touchdowns? Not good.

2. Texans: 9-7

Bill O’Brien has surrounded Brock Osweiler with weapons, but his QB isn’t an $18 million quarterback.

Coach: Bill O’Brien
2015 Record: 9-7
Over/Under wins: 8.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 33-1

First-and-goal: J.J. Watt (back) is on track to play Week 1. OLB Whitney Mercilus can bring the heat as well. Imagine if OLB Jadeveon Clowney could stay on the field and live up to his billing. QB Brock Osweiler is not worth $18 million, but Brian Hoyer & Co. set the bar painfully low. RB Lamar Miller should be a 1,000-yard rusher and productive receiver. He’ll make life easier on game-breaker WR DeAndre Hopkins. No. 1 pick WR Will Fuller will take the top off a defense as long as he isn’t plagued by the dropsies. Fellow rookie WR Braxton Miller is a versatile toy for O’Brien. CBs Johnathan Joseph, Kareem Jackson and Kevin Johnson can match up favorably with most receiving trios.

Fourth-and-long: Osweiler will learn to duck with RT Derek Newton blocking for him. The special teams are pedestrian at best. NT Vince Wilfork has provided tremendous leadership, but he’s 34 and the barbecue could slow him to a crawl. Watt needs more help on his defensive line. Rookie C Nick Martin (ankle) was lost for the season and LT Duane Brown (quad) won’t be ready for the opener.

3. Jaguars: 7-9

It’s time for Gus Bradley to make a playoff bid with all the defensive upgrades, but it is QB Blake Bortles who holds his future in his hands.

Coach: Gus Bradley
2015 Record: 5-11
Over/Under wins: 7.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 50-1

Head coach Gus BradleyGetty Images

First-and-goal: QB Blake Bortles can’t help but make further improvement throwing to WRs Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns and TE Julius Thomas. He better not throw a league-high 18 INTs again. Ex-Jet RB Chris Ivory gives him a nice 1-2 punch with T.J. Yeldon. The talent level on defense has been markedly upgraded with free agents DT Malik Jackson, S Tashaun Gipson and CB Prince Amukamara and 2015 No. 1 draft pick DE Dante Fowler, who missed his rookie season with a torn ACL. The draft brings CB/S Jalen Ramsey and LB Myles Jack. LT Kelvin Beachum is an upgrade. Rashad Greene is a dangerous punt returner on a quality special teams.

Fourth-and-long: Gus Bradley (12-36 in three seasons) will be on the hot seat if he doesn’t challenge for a playoff berth. You heard it here first: Tom Coughlin goes back to Jacksonville if owner Shad Khan opts for a change. If it’s Doug Marrone, forget you heard it. Beachum by his lonesome doesn’t solve the offensive-line issues. PK Jason Myers can’t be missing seven PATs again. The last kickoff return for a touchdown? 2007.

4. Titans: 6-10

Marcus Mariota’s team might remind you of Rex’s Ground and Pound Jets.

Coach: Mike Mularkey
2015 record: 3-13
Over/Under wins: 5.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 100-1

First-and-goal: Marcus Mariota is more of a vocal leader who will take the next step when he improves his deep ball accuracy. RB DeMarco Murray won’t replicate his 2014 or 2015, while rookie RB Derrick Henry will move the chains behind him. No. 1 pick RT Jack Conklin is a mauler opposite LT Taylor Lewan. TE Delanie Walker should be good for another 1,000-yard season. WR Rishard Matthews is an ascending player and rookie WR Tajae Sharpe looks like a steal. DE Jurell Casey is a beast who scares quarterbacks. He’ll be scarier if he gets help from OLBs Brian Orakpo and Derrick Morgan. Matt Cassel is an upgrade at backup quarterback. S Da’Norris Searcy is a standout in the secondary.

Fourth-and-long: Who knows for sure about Mularkey, 18-39 as a head coach? WR Kendall Wright has underachieved, while fellow disappointments Justin Hunter and Bishop Sankey were released. The linebacking corps and cornerback positions need upgrades. The return units have been awful. The offensive line won’t surrender a league-high 54 sacks again, but division sack artists Watt and Fowler will be bringing the heat.

AFC West

1. Raiders: 10-6

Derek Carr, Amari Cooper, Khalil Mack … if not this year, then next year.

Coach: Jack Del Rio
2015 Record: 7-9
Over/Under wins: 8.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 25-1

Derek Carr (left) celebrates with Amari Cooper after they connected for a touchdown in a preseason game.Getty Images

First-and-goal: QB Derek Carr was drafted after Johnny Football. WR Amari Cooper should do better than 72 catches, 1,070 yards and 6 TDs as long as WR Michael Crabtree (foot) can stay healthy. RB Latavius Murray is a 1,000-yard rusher who will benefit from rookie DeAndre Washington spelling him. TE Clive Walford could be a 6-foot-4, 250-pound target monster. The offensive line is among the best now that LG Kelechi Osemele is lining up between LT Donald Penn and C Rodney Hudson. Don’t be shocked if OLB-DE Khalil Mack leads the league in sacks, especially with OLB Bruce Irvin to help him. Free agent CB Sean Smith (6-3, 220) enables Del Rio to match up against Demaryius Thomas and Keenan Allen. Enforcer No. 1 pick SS Karl Joseph will learn quickly alongside veteran FS Reggie Nelson.

Fourth-and-long: OLB Aldon Smith (DUI) won’t return until November. The rest of the linebacking corps and special teams need to work on their Commitment to Excellence. PK Sebastian Janikowski is 38. The Black Hole needs to be a more daunting homefield advantage (3-5 in 2015). Retired Charles Woodson’s leadership will be missed. The Silver & Black hasn’t had a winning season since 2002, so they’ll have to deal with the percolating hype.

2. Chiefs: 10-6

Andy Reid is almost always in the hunt, and he’ll be getting Jamaal Charles and Justin Houston back soon enough.

Coach: Andy Reid
2015 Record: 11-5
Over/Under wins: 9.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 20-1

First-and-goal: RB Jamaal Charles, four months from his 30th birthday, remains The Straw That Stirs The Drink, but won’t be at full strength early on as he recovers from a torn ACL. RBs Charcandrick West and Spencer Ware offer quality insurance. QB Alex Smith never will be Aaron Rodgers, but Reid can win with him throwing to WR Jeremy Maclin and TE Travis Kelce. And Smith rushed for 498 yards last season. RT Mitchell Schwartz bookends LT Eric Fisher, and C Mitch Morse is dependable. Defensive line is loaded with NT Dontari Poe, Jaye Howard, Allen Bailey and rookie Chris Jones. S Eric Berry didn’t get his contract extension and skipped most of training camp but will make $10.8 million this season on the franchise tag. Defensive Rookie of the Year CB Marcus Peters is a ballhawk. Special teams coordinator Dave Toub has his eagle eyes on rookie returner Tyreek Hill.

Fourth-and-long: Former No. 1 pick OLB Dee Ford and OLB Tamba Hali will need to step up with sack demon OLB Justin Houston gone for the first six weeks. CB Phillip Gaines replaces Sean Smith. Both guards, Ben Grubbs and Jeff Allen, are gone. So is offensive coordinator Doug Pederson, the new Eagles head coach who took backup QB Chase Daniel with him. Brad Childress and Matt Nagy replace him as co-offensive coordinators.

3. Broncos: 9-7

Von Miller sacking the quarterback isn’t enough in the post-Peyton Manning era.

Coach: Gary Kubiak
2015 Record: 12-4
Over/Under wins: 9
Odds to win Super Bowl: 20-1

Von MillerAP

First-and-goal: $114.5 million man OLB Von Miller has 60 sacks in 72 career games. WRs Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders form a dangerous tandem. CBs Aqib Talib, Chris Harris and Bradley Roby are arguably the best trio in the game. Safeties Darian Stewart and punisher T.J. Ward are solid. RB C.J. Anderson is primed for a bounce-back season and rookie fourth-round RB DeVontae Booker looks like a steal. DC Wade Phillips is as good as it gets. PK Brandon McManus was 5-for-5 from beyond 50 yards last season and 10-for-10 in the postseason. LT Russell Okung needs to stay on the field. Mile High Stadium is a tough place for visitors.

Fourth-and-long: If you thought the quarterback position was unsettled last season with Peyton Manning and Brock Osweiler, wait until you see Week 1 starter Trevor Siemian. DE-DT Malik Jackson and LB Danny Trevathan were free-agent departures. G Evan Mathis departing for Arizona is a big loss on an offensive line that couldn’t afford it. OLB DeMarcus Ware is 34, which means 2015 No. 1 pick Shane Ray better juice the pass rush.

4. Chargers: 5-11

Philip Rivers might have to throw for 5,000 yards with this defense.

Coach: Mike McCoy
2015 Record: 4-12
Over/Under wins: 7
Odds to win Super Bowl: 75-1

First-and-goal: Fiery franchise quarterback Philip Rivers is Old Man Rivers, forever young at 34. WR Keenan Allen should catch 100 balls. WR Travis Benjamin is a big-play threat. RB Danny Woodhead is a safety valve weapon for Rivers out of the backfield. C Matt Slauson helps an offensive line that needs to block better. RT Joe Barksdale was worth re-signing. Free agent NT Brandon Mebane should help the woeful run defense, even though he’s 31. OLB Melvin Ingram will cash in following a contract year if he repeats his 10.5-sack 2015. The Jets liked Quintin Coples better, remember. ILB Denzel Perryman, no longer a rookie, notched a pair of 10-tackle games in December. CB Jason Verrett is a feisty playmaker.

Fourth-and-long: McCoy (22-26 in three seasons) is on the hot seat. TE Antonio Gates is 36, and Ladarius Green is no longer his heir apparent. RB Melvin Gordon looked nothing like a 2015 No. 1 pick. This year’s top pick, DE Joey Bosa, will help the beleaguered pass rush once he chips off the rust from his training-camp holdout. FS Eric Weddle’s experience and leadership will be missed. Special teams were awful last season. Uncertainty over whether they’ll be relocating to Los Angeles or Las Vegas next season doesn’t help.

NFC East

1. Giants: 9-7

Jerry Reese spent $200 million to make sure Ben McAdoo, Eli Manning and Odell Beckham Jr. won’t have to overcome the league’s worst defense this time.

Coach: Ben McAdoo
2015 Record: 6-10
Over/Under wins: 8
Odds to win Super Bowl: 20-1

Sterling ShepardAP

First-and-goal: Eli Manning-to-Odell Beckham Jr. A pass rush with DEs Olivier Vernon and Jason Pierre-Paul. DT Damon Harrison stuffing the run. CBs Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, Janoris Jenkins and Eli Apple forming a Bermuda Triangle for opposing quarterbacks. Rookie WR Sterling Shepard a Rookie of the Year possibility. Dwayne Harris returning kicks. OLB Jonathan Casillas running sideline to sideline. Year 3 of the Ben McAdoo offense. Year 2 of the Steve Spagnuolo defense. C Weston Richburg will be a Pro Bowler, and soon. Don’t sleep on special teams coach Tom Quinn.

Fourth-and-long: The law of averages tells you that the injury epidemic that has gripped the team has to end. The offensive line remains guilty until proven innocent. Can they run the ball? Will 31-year-old RB Rashad Jennings be the bellcow? Is there a middle linebacker in the house? Can TE Larry Donnell bounce back from a neck injury? Oh, if you haven’t heard, PK Josh Brown is suspended and will miss the road opener against the Cowboys. Is Randy Bullock up to the task?

2. Redskins: 9-7

What can Kirk Cousins do for an encore?

Coach: Jay Gruden
2015 Record: 9-7
Over/Under wins: 7.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 50-1

First-and-goal: QB Kirk Cousins will be playing for a long-term extension, his chance to prove he’s no one-hit wonder. TE Jordan Reed is a near-1,000-yard weapon. WR DeSean Jackson is still dangerous as a deep threat and WR Pierre Garçon caught 72 balls last season, though his 10.8-yard average was his lowest since his rookie 2008 season. Jackson and Garçon will be free agents, a big reason why GM Scot McCloughan used his first-round pick on acrobatic WR Josh Doctson. CB Josh Norman was signed to torment Odell Beckham Jr. twice a year opposite gifted Bashaud Breeland. OLB Ryan Kerrigan has 48 sacks over five seasons. Rookie dime linebacker Su’a Cravens has a chance to make an impact. LT Trent Williams and 2015 No. 1 pick RG Brandon Scherff and RT Morgan Moses are modern-day Hogs. OL guru Bill Callahan is elite. Tress Way led the league in punting average.

Fourth-and-long: Fumble-prone RB Matt Jones (shoulder) was expected to replace Alfred Morris. Chris Thompson and rookie Rob Kelley should be backups. The center position remains problematic. DE Trent Murphy has bulked up to transition from linebacker. OLB Junior Galette tore his Achilles and won’t be helping Kerrigan rush the passer. The schedule is much tougher, and the ’Skins were outclassed a year ago by quality opponents.

3. Cowboys: 7-9

Tony Romo better recover ASAP, and Ezekiel Elliott better help Dak Prescott keep that defense off the field in the meantime.

Coach: Jason Garrett
2015 Record: 4-12
Over/Under wins: 8
Odds to win Super Bowl: 25-1

Dak PrescottAP

First-and-goal: The offensive line is arguably the best in the game, which figures to get RB Ezekiel Elliott in the Offensive Rookie of the Year conversation. Pro Bowl OLB Sean Lee is a talent, but can he stay on the field? DT Tyrone Crawford is healthy again and should have a bounce-back year. Safeties Byron Jones and Barry Church are a good tandem. PK Dan Bailey is money. CB Orlando Scandrick, who missed the 2015 season, is back. CB Morris Claiborne is finally resembling a former No. 1 pick.

Fourth-and-long: Jerry Jones was praying Tony Romo, the Collarbone Kid, would have a healthy Last Hurrah. So were WR Dez Bryant and TE Jason Witten, whose Super Bowl window is closing. And then Tony Oh No suffered a broken bone in his back. Impressive rookie QB Dak Prescott won’t be Roger Staubach. Is there a pass rush in the house? DEs Demarcus Lawrence and Randy Gregory will serve four-game suspensions, and MLB Rolando McLain will serve a 10-game suspension. Bryant doesn’t have an Alvin Harper on the opposite side. Special teams ace Dwayne Harris, who went to the Giants last season, is still missed. The stadium and cheerleaders are aesthetically pleasing, but they haven’t given Jones any homefield advantage.

4. Eagles: 6-10

You don’t recover from the Chip Kelly Experiment overnight.

Coach: Doug Pederson
2015 Record: 7-9
Over/Under wins: 7
Odds to win Super Bowl: 75-1

First-and-goal: Doug Pederson may be a rookie head coach, but at least he has the emotional intelligence that owner Jeff Lurie claimed Chip Kelly lacked. DC Jim Schwartz has transformed the defense from a 3-4 to a 4-3. DE Fletcher Cox, $103 million richer, is dominant alongside NT Bennie Logan. MLB Jordan Hicks has star potential. DEs Vinny Curry, Brandon Graham and Connor Barwin can all rush the passer. WR Jordan Matthews has 11 red-zone TD catches over 2014 and 2015. TE Zach Ertz could enjoy a breakout season. Free agent G Brandon Brooks is an upgrade. The safety position is in good hands with Malcolm Jenkins and free agent Rodney McLeod.

Fourth-and-long: RT Lane Johnson may play Week 1 as he awaits word on whether he’ll face a 10-game suspension. LT Jason Peters is 34. The trade to the Vikings of overpaid QB Sam Bradford makes No. 2-overall pick QB Carson Wentz the starter once his ribs heal. Sorry, Chase Daniel. RB Ryan Mathews is not exactly an ironman either. Darren Sproles is 33 and in decline. 2015 No. 1 pick WR Nelson Agholor was a bust. The Titans gave up on WR Dorial Green-Beckham, although he could be a red-zone target at 6-foot-5. The cornerbacks can’t match up with the NFC’s elite receivers. The Linc has not been a homefield advantage.

NFC North

1. Packers: 11-5

Aaron Rodgers wants to reclaim the division, and he’s got Jordy Nelson back to help him.

Coach: Mike McCarthy
2015 Record: 10-6
Over/Under wins: 10.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 6-1

Jordy NelsonAP

First-and-goal: Aaron Rodgers gets WR Jordy Nelson back, which makes life easier on Randall Cobb. RB Eddie Lacy no longer is on his way to reminding Mike McCarthy of Refrigerator Perry Lite. The offensive line, even with G Josh Sitton gone, is more cohesive than most. TE Jared Cook has a chance to make an impact. OLB Clay Matthews will be more of a danger to quarterbacks now that he’s back on the outside, especially if help comes from Datone Jones. OLB Julius Peppers doesn’t know he’s 36. The secondary is loaded with young, emerging talent. GM Ted Thompson, who gets criticized for disdaining free agency, has gotten the last laugh with 2014 No. 1 pick S Ha Ha Clinton-Dix. PK Mason Crosby is dependable. There are several capable return men.

Fourth-and-long: NT B.J. Raji suddenly retired, so No. 1 pick Kenny Clark will need to emerge. Nickel CB Casey Hayward left for San Diego. Rookie MLB Blake Martinez has opened eyes, but if he is forced to start, he’s still a rookie. WR Davante Adams was a disappointment and needs to show he is worthy of the No. 3 wideout. It could be Jared Abbrederis instead.

2. Vikings: 9-7

Mike Zimmer has a bevy of Purple People Eaters, but how far can Sam Bradford take them?

Coach: Mike Zimmer
2015 Record: 11-5
Over/Under wins: 9 1/2
Odds to win Super Bowl: 25-1

First-and-goal: The trade with the Eagles for QB Sam Bradford keeps Super Bowl hopes alive, but only if he can stay healthy and flourish under OC Norv Turner. Adrian Peterson can run All Day, even at 31. No. 1 pick Laquon Treadwell is a possession receiver and nice complement to Stefon Diggs. LG Alex Boone and RT Andre Smith upgrade a deep and experienced offensive line. Mike Zimmer is a very good head coach, and his defense is loaded with No. 1 draft choices, most notably S Harrison Smith, OLB Anthony Barr, CB Xavier Rhodes and DT Sharif Floyd. DE Everson Griffen has recorded 20.5 sacks over the past two seasons. DT Linval Joseph is a beast. Welcome to $1.1 billion U.S. Bank Stadium.

Fourth-and-long: Teddy Bridgewater’s devastating Aug. 30 knee injury temporarily shattered any Super Bowl dream. Strong safety is up for grabs between 31-year-old Michael Griffin and Andrew Sendejo. Kyle Rudolph, who boasts he’s the best tight end in football but is not, needs to be more of a factor in the passing game. CB Terence Newman will be 38 this month. WLB Chad Greenway provides tremendous leadership but is 33 and could be supplanted by Emmanuel Lamur. Will PK Blair Walsh be haunted by that missed 27-yard field goal in the playoffs against the Seahawks?

3. Bears: 7-9

Jay Cutler will need a healthy Alshon Jeffery to make him forget losing Adam Gase.

Coach: John Fox
2015 Record: 6-10
Over/Under wins: 7.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 75-1

Alshon JefferyGetty Images

First-and-goal: 2015 No. 1 pick WR Kevin White is back opposite WR Alshon Jeffery after missing his rookie season. CB Kyle Fuller, iffy early (knee), and S Adrian Amos should be ascending players. Free agents Jerrell Freeman and Danny Trevathan significantly upgrade the linebacking corps. Free agent RT Bobby Massie slides stud Kyle Long inside, and signing ex-Packer G Josh Sitton was a coup. TE Zach Miller, who replaces talented big mouth Martellus Bennett, seems to have chemistry with QB Jay Cutler. Fox and DC Vic Fangio can coach.

Fourth-and-long: No offense to Dowell Loggains, but Cutler will probably miss Adam Gase. RB Jeremy Langford won’t replace Matt Forte. Rookie RB Jordan Howard will have to help. DE Akiem Hicks and No. 1 pick OLB Leonard Floyd will be counted on to rush the passer — fairly important against Aaron Rodgers — because of OLB Pernell McPhee’s shaky knee. CB Tracy Porter and Fuller combined for just three INTs last season as the once-feared Monsters of the Midway forced only 17 turnovers. The special teams appear upgraded, but remain guilty until proven innocent. The average starting field position on kickoff for opponents was the 24.2-yard line.

4. Lions: 6-10

Life After Megatron, and it won’t be pretty.

Coach: Jim Caldwell
2015 Record: 7-9
Over/Under wins: 7
Odds to win Super Bowl: 75-1

First-and-goal: Matthew Stafford thrived in the second half of last season (19 TDs, two INTs) when Jim Bob Cooter was promoted to offensive coordinator. Free agent WR Marvin Jones can stretch the field and complement Golden Tate. RB Theo Riddick could catch 80 balls again with Calvin Johnson gone. Slot WR Anquan Boldin is a pro, even at 36. DE Ziggy Ansah exploded for 14.5 sacks in 2015 and his defensive line coach sees 20 as realistic. A healthy Haloti Ngata is an unmovable Haloti Ngata, even at 32. CB Darius Slay doesn’t fear Aaron Rodgers. OLB DeAndre Levy (hip), who recorded 151 tackles in 2014, is back from a lost 2015 season as the leader on defense. Special teams and kicking game ain’t shabby.

Fourth-and-goal: What a shame if Megatron retired before the first Super Bowl season in Lions history. No. 1 pick LT Taylor Decker will start on a young offensive line that has surrendered 89 sacks over the past two seasons. RB Ameer Abdullah came on strong at the end of his rookie season, but can he be trusted? This was the worst rushing team in football. TE Eric Ebron has yet to resemble someone drafted ahead of Odell Beckham Jr. S Isa Abdul-Quddus’ free agent departure to Miami will hurt the secondary. When you’re hosting the Lions, be sure you greet them at the bus. This is an historically bad road team.

NFC South

1. Panthers: 10-6

MVP Cam Newton on one side of the ball, Luke Kuechly on the other.

Coach: Ron Rivera
2015 Record: 15-1
Over/Under wins: 10.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 10-1

Luke KuechlyGetty Images

First-and-goal: QB Cam Newton won NFL MVP honors and now he gets towering red-zone target Kelvin Benjamin back from a torn ACL that cost him the 2015 season, and another big receiver, Devin Funchess, is emerging. And TE Greg Olsen is elite. Rivera is a beloved head coach and OC Mike Shula and DC Sean McDermott have pedigree. DT Kawann Short and tackling Einstein ILB Luke Kuechly are elite, and ILB Thomas Davis is one of the game’s great leaders. The arrow is pointing up for DE Kony Ealy. No. 1 pick DT Vernon Butler joins Star Lotulelei on GM Dave Gettleman’s list of hog mollies. C Ryan Kalil and G Trai Turner anchor the offensive line. RB Jonathan Stewart keeps pounding when healthy. PK Graham Gano has made 92 of 109 FGs for the Panthers. Flyer Ted Ginn Jr. is a dangerous punt returner. The home team was 10-0 at Bank of America Stadium last season. Andy Lee solves the punting problem.

Fourth-and-goal: Lightning rod CB Josh Norman is a Redskin, and rookie CBs James Bradberry and Daryl Worley are the starters. RT Mike Nemmers resembled a turnstile in the Super Bowl against Von Miller (virtually everyone else does too, though). Special teams are a question mark. Super Bowl hangover?

2. Buccaneers: 8-8

A slimmer Jameis Winston is a better Jameis Winston.

Coach: Dirk Koetter
2015 Record: 6-10
Over/Under wins: 7.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 100-1

Jameis WinstonAP

First-and-goal: QB Jameis Winston is a natural leader. WR Mike Evans had a league-high 11 drops last season, but his ceiling is sky high. RBs Doug Martin and Charles Sims are a formidable 1-2 punch. RG Ali Marpet is the real deal. No. 1 pick CB Vernon Hargreaves III, drafted immediately after Eli Apple, has been impressive. DT Gerald McCoy and OLB Lavonte David are studs. The linebacking corps also includes speedy Kwon Alexander and veteran Daryl Smith. DEs Robert Ayers and No. 2 pick Noah Spence should juice the pass rush. DC Mike Smith is highly respected.

Fourth-and-long: Koetter is an offensive mind, but what kind of head coach will he be? WR Vincent Jackson is 33, and TE Austin Sefarian-Jenkins is talented, but he’s played a total of 16 games in his two NFL seasons. LT Donovan Smith is up and down. CB Brent Grimes is 33 and has allowed 13 TD passes over the past two seasons. Safeties Bradley McDougald and Chris Conte can’t cut it. Rookie PK Roberto Aguayo has to justify being drafted in the second round. A dependable punter is needed.

3. Saints: 7-9

No offense, but the defense still stinks.

Coach: Sean Payton
2015 Record: 7-9
Over/Under wins: 7
Odds to win Super Bowl: 75-1

First-and-goal: Drew Brees is 37 and can still throw for almost 5,000 yards in his sleep. Payton is a damn good head coach. WR Brandin Cooks caught 84 balls last season and could catch more with Marques Colston gone, although No. 2 WR Willie Snead has Brees’ trust and rookie WR Michael Thomas has opened eyes. Free agent TE Coby Fleener could be a red-zone monster. RB Mark Ingram emerged as a receiving threat (50 catches) out of the backfield in 2015. LT Terron Armstead is elite on an offensive line anchored by C Max Unger. DE Cameron Jordan is a double-digit sacker. CB Delvin Breaux is on the come. If veteran edge rusher DE Paul Kruger can replicate his 2014 season (11 sacks), Cam Newton, Jameis Winston and Matt Ryan won’t feel as comfortable.

Fourth-and-long: The defense was last in points allowed in 2015. Best wishes to DC Dennis Allen. No. 1 pick DT Sheldon Rankins was lost for the season with a broken leg. Jordan has little pass rush help. Hau’oli Kikaha tore his ACL. MLB James Laurinaitis ain’t what he used to be with the Rams. FS Jairus Byrd has been injury-prone. The kicking game is brutal. The Saints are 7-9 at the Superdome over the past two seasons.

4. Falcons: 7-9

Matty Ice may never get that close to a Super Bowl again.

Coach: Dan Quinn
2015 Record: 8-8
Over/Under wins: 7.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 66-1

Matt Ryan

First-and-goal: WR Julio Jones caught 136 balls last season and should notch only his second double-digit TD season. RB Devonta Freeman won’t catch 73 balls this season with explosive Tevin Coleman slated for more playing time. Free agent C Alex Mack fortifies an elite offensive line led by LT Jake Matthews and RT Ryan Schraeder. Matt Ryan should return to being a top-12 quarterback in his second year under OC Kyle Shanahan. CB Desmond Trufant has his own island, and bookend CB Robert Alford is no slouch. Bruiser No. 1 pick S Keanu Neal and No. 2 pick OLB Deion Jones are likely starters. PK Matt Bryant is 41, but he’s the least of their problems.

Fourth-and-long: Quinn can’t survive with a pass rush that registers a paltry 19 sacks. OLB Vic Beasley, the 2015 No. 1 pick and designated pass rusher, registered just four sacks as a rookie. DE Dwight Freeney to the rescue? Free agent DE Derrick Shelby could help some. Overpaid free agent WR Mohamed Sanu isn’t the young Roddy White, sorry. Ryan still misses retired TE Tony Gonzalez. Perhaps third-round pick TE Austin Hooper can help. CB Jalen Collins serves a four-game suspension.

NFC West

1. Cardinals: 11-5

A running back like David Johnson will help Carson Palmer forget his playoff nightmare against the Panthers.

Coach: Bruce Arians
2015 Record: 13-3
Over/Under wins: 9.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 10-1

First-and-goal: The popular Arians has no fear of the consequences and plays to win. QB Carson Palmer’s deep-strike mentality strikes fear throwing to WRs Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd and John Brown. RB David Johnson could be The Straw That Stirs The Drink, with both his legs and hands. Chris Johnson has enough left to spell him. RG Evan Mathis is 34 but a quality bookend to Mike Iupati. FS Honey Badger Tyrann Mathieu is back from his torn ACL and raring to be the blitzing fool again. DE Chandler Jones is the pass rushing oasis in the desert, and DE Calais Campbell and OLB Markus Golden will be the beneficiaries. ILB Deone Bucannon is the classic hybrid monster back. Odell Beckham Jr. has nominated Patrick Peterson as the best corner in the league. No. 1 pick DT Robert Nkemdiche is a steal if his head is on right.

Fourth-and-long: Palmer has to overcome his playoff meltdown against the Panthers and prove he can win The Big One. TE Darren Fells is an afterthought. D.J. Humphries is a question mark at RT, and center is iffy. CB Justin Bethel appears to be Peterson’s bookend, which means he’ll be a marked man. PK Chandler Catanzaro missed five PATs last season.

2. Seahawks: 10-6

Russell Wilson’s just here so he don’t get fined, but Beast Mode isn’t anymore.

Coach: Pete Carroll
2015 Record: 10-6
Over/Under wins: 10.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 9-1

Russell WilsonAP

First-and-goal: Russell Wilson is a winner, just ask Ciara. WRs Doug Baldwin and Tyler Lockett won’t be sneaking up on anybody anymore. If TE Jimmy Graham continues progressing from his patellar tendon rehab, he can’t possibly catch just two TDs again. CB Richard Sherman and FS Earl Thomas and bone-cruncher S Kam Chancellor are Legion of Boomers emeritus. DE Michael Bennett is a beast and DE Cliff Avril is a quarterback menace as well. The linebacking corps is in good shape with Bobby Wagner and K. J. Wright. PK Steven Hauschka missed four PATs, but he’s usually clutch (29 of 31 FGs). Hurdling P Jon Ryan is signed through 2020 for a reason. Lockett is a big-play return man. The 12th Man slumped to 5-3 last season, probably an aberration. Carroll is a winner, just ask Wilson.

Fourth-and-long: RG Germain Ifedi was their No. 1 pick with good reason; the offensive line is the Achilles heel, especially with LT Russell Okung gone. Marshawn Lynch retirement means it’s Thomas Rawls’ turn, but although he’s got talent, he’s no Beast Mode. The departures of OLB/DE Bruce Irvin and NT Brandon Mebane leave less experienced replacements, including second-round pick Jarran Reed.

3. Rams: 7-9

Hooray for Hollywood, you have a team again … but a pretty bad one.

Coach: Jeff Fisher
2015 Record: 7-9
Over/Under wins: 7.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 75-1

First-and-goal: Todd Gurley is the Aaron Donald of running backs, and Aaron Donald is the Todd Gurley of defensive tackles. Pass rushing DE Robert Quinn played in eight games last season before a back injury that required surgery shelved him. DE William Hayes was a must-keep after Chris Long left for New England. New MLB Alec Ogletree missed the last 12 games in 2015 with a broken leg. CB Trumaine Johnson was a must-keep with Janoris Jenkins leaving. WR Tavon Austin is more than a gadget player. Rookie TE Tyler Higbee can be a 6-foot-4 safety valve. Case Keenum will be better than most backup QBs once he takes a seat behind No. 1 overall pick Jared Goff. Hollywood’s a nice place.

Fourth-and-long: Goff will struggle mightily when he ascends to the throne. LT Greg Robinson has disappointed as the second overall pick of the 2014 draft. WRs Kenny Britt and Brian Quick are not exactly Isaac Bruce and Torry Holt. It shouldn’t surprise anyone if this is the worst passing offense in the NFL again. CB Jenkins and S Rodney McLeod were free-agent departures. CB E.J. Gaines is Jenkins’ replacement. Jeff Fisher is 27-36-1 as Rams head coach. More Hard Knocks ahead.

4. 49ers: 4-12

Chip Kelly doesn’t know what he’s getting himself into.

Coach: Chip Kelly
2015 Record: 5-11
Over/Under wins: 5.5
Odds to win Super Bowl: 150-1

49ers coach Chip KellyAP

First-and-goal: RB Carlos Hyde is an every-down back and 1,000-yard rusher. No. 1 pick DeForest Buckner joins former Oregon teammate DE Arik Armstead as Kelly again tries to build a Duck Dynasty. ILB NaVorro Bowman believes he’s the best and who’s to doubt him after making 154 tackles last season despite missing 2014 following reconstructive knee surgery? LT Joe Staley has been selected to the Pro Bowl five seasons in a row. TE Vance McDonald could make an impact in the passing game.

Fourth-and-goal: Kelly is guilty until proven innocent following his Philly Phlameout. NT Ian Williams (broken ankle) will miss the season and that won’t help the horrific run defense. Who will be the ILB alongside Bowman? Blaine Gabbert isn’t quite Joe Montana. Apparently flagging Colin Kaepernick isn’t quite Blaine Gabbert. OLB Aaron Lynch serves a four-game suspension. Can Tank Carradine step up? The offensive line welcomes back Anthony Davis, working as a guard, and adds free agent G Zane Beadles and rookie G Joshua Garnett, the best run-blocker in the draft, but it appears destined for mediocrity. The Niners surrendered 53 sacks in 2015. WR Torrey Smith (33-663-4 TDs despite getting $40 million) is the Go-To Guy. C’mon. Is Quinton Patton (one career TD) the answer on the opposite side? Gulp. Let’s face it, not even Jim Tomsula could turn this into a playoff team.