2022 dividend forecasts: are these 3 FTSE 100 stocks a buy?

I’m looking to see which stocks have the greatest dividend forecasts for the year ahead. Here are three I’m considering with double-digit yields.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Close-up of British bank notes

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

I’m looking ahead to 2022 to see which FTSE 100 stocks have the highest dividend forecasts. These three shares have the highest forecasted yields out of the whole FTSE 100 index.

Let’s take a look to see if I should buy them for my income portfolio.

A FTSE 100 dividend stock

The company with the highest forecast dividend yield is Evraz (LSE: EVR) with an eye-popping forward-looking yield of 20% as I write. Now, with a dividend yield this high, I question just how sustainable it will be. It’s perhaps too high at this level.

Evraz operates in the mining sector, specifically as a miner of iron ore and coal, while also manufacturing steel. In the half-year report to 30 June, net profit surged to $1.2bn, which increased from $513m in the same period one year ago. Management said higher steel, vanadium and coal sales prices were factors leading to the outstanding performance.

However, Evraz hasn’t always paid a dividend in recent times. The company depends on one area of the commodity market, namely steel. If steel prices do fall then Evraz’s profits will decline, which will likely lead to a reduction in the dividend. Indeed, management noted some caution over “a possible correction in steel prices” in the half-year report.

I’m going to sit this one out for now as I think there are less risky dividend stocks to consider.

A ‘safer’ FTSE 100 mining stock

I’m also looking at Rio Tinto (LSE: RIO), another FTSE 100 mining stock. Only here, the company is diversified across the commodity markets in both industrial and precious metal mining. 

Rio Tinto has benefited from a boom in economic growth since the pandemic last year. This has boosted company profits, and then its ability to pay above-average dividends. But with the dividend forecast being for a huge 17% yield, so again, I don’t expect this to be maintained. 

Rio Tinto has consistently paid a dividend though. In fact, the last dividend payment it missed was in 2009, just after the financial crisis. Nevertheless, the company is still cyclical, and demand can fall quite drastically if economic growth begins to slow. It’s a key risk to consider before I invest.

On balance, I think Rio Tinto is the safer mining stock with a double-digit forecasted yield. I’d buy the shares for my portfolio.

Savings and investment

The last company is M&G (LSE: MNG). It’s a savings and investment company, and in 2019 it completed a demerger from Prudential.

The current dividend yield forecast is almost 11%, which makes it the third-largest dividend forecast in the FTSE 100. It’s paid a dividend every year since the demerger completed, albeit this is only since 2019. The company is also able to generate double-digit returns on its equity, which can be a sign of a quality business.

The risk with M&G is that business performance is tied to its assets under management (AUM). Performance can decline when financial markets fall, or even worse, crash. This will lower the fees the company can generate on its AUM, and therefore its dividend would likely be cut. 

M&G’s management is committed to its dividend policy though, so I still see this as a strong dividend stock to consider for my portfolio.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Dan Appleby owns shares of Rio Tinto. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young Caucasian woman with pink her studying from her laptop screen
Investing Articles

These 3 growth stocks still look dirt cheap despite the FTSE hitting all-time highs

Harvey Jones is hunting for growth stocks that have missed out on the recent FTSE 100 rally and still look…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Investing Articles

Here’s how much I’d need to invest in UK income stocks to retire on £25k a year

Harvey Jones is building his retirement plans on a portfolio of top UK dividend income stocks. There are some great…

Read more »

Investing Articles

If I’d invested £5,000 in BT shares three months ago here’s what I’d have today

Harvey Jones keeps returning to BT shares, wondering whether he finally has the pluck to buy them. The cheaper they…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d aim for a million, by investing £150 a week

Our writer outlines how he’d aim for a million in the stock market through regular saving, disciplined investing, and careful…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how the NatWest dividend could earn me a £1,000 annual passive income!

The NatWest dividend yield is over 5%. So if our writer wanted to earn £1,000 in passive income each year,…

Read more »

Young female hand showing five fingers.
Investing Articles

I’d start buying shares with these 5 questions

Christopher Ruane shares a handful of selection criteria he would use to start buying shares -- or invest for the…

Read more »

Businessman use electronic pen writing rising colorful graph from 2023 to 2024 year of business planning and stock investment growth concept.
Investing Articles

Here’s how much income I’d get if I invested my entire £20k ISA in Tesco shares

Harvey Jones is wondering whether to take the plunge and buy Tesco shares, which offer solid growth prospects and a…

Read more »

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Investing Articles

1 big-cap stock I’d consider buying with the FTSE 100 around 8,000

With several contenders it’s been a tough choice. But here are my top FTSE 100 stock picks, despite the buoyant…

Read more »