The Philadelphia Phillies (64-60) and Boston Red Sox (67-59) open an interleague two-gamer on Tuesday at 7:10 p.m. Eastern.

The Red Sox has won five games in a row; it has pitched better at Fenway of late. The Phillies arrived in Boston having lost their last two. The Phillies offense has registered a disappointing .725 OPS in a second half that has seen a major uptick in offense elsewhere around the league.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook; for a full-set of today’s sports betting odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports.

Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Brian Johnson

Nola does a nice job limiting hard-hit balls, and he’s been more consistent start-to-start and month-by-month than most starters. The veteran right-hander has been an excellent second-half performer over his career. He has usually been a solid road pitcher, but Nola has struggled in that regard (.757 opponent OPS vs. .667 at home) this year (albeit in a small-sample 10 starts vs. 16 at home).

Johnson owns a 6.54 ERA/5.99 xFIP through five starts. The 28-year-old has had a tough slate, facing the Blue Jays, Indians, Yankees and Angels. Johnson has also yielded too many walks, too many fly balls and too many fly balls of the indefensible variety. He typically has a short leash and pitches at the front end of a bullpen day for the Red Sox, but he’s not a 1-2-inning opener. The Boston bullpen owns a 4.32 xFIP which ranks eighth in MLB.

Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox: By the Numbers

• Boston hits right-handers at a nice clip (.843 OPS), and the Red Sox is of course a top-shelf group at home (.866). Boston ranks top-five in most offensive splits, but the Sox sits 10th in OPS vs. ground-ball pitchers (.774).
• The Red Sox owns a .865 OPS this month; much of the damage has been done of late – Boston has averaged 7.4 RPG on a 1.016 OPS over its last nine games.

• Philadelphia’s .709 OPS on the road ranks 26th in the league. The Phillies are 26-32 with a minus-9.4 percent return on investment away from home.
• Boston is 3-10 at home in games with a near-even (-125 to +125) moneyline
• Even after winning five straight games, the Red Sox are three games under their 70-56 Pythagorean record. The Phillies are four games over their mark.

Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox: Picks and Betting Tips

Moneyline: BOS -102 has built-in value on the overall team comparison, and the award for pitching discrepancy is enough to keep a profit potential on the same side.

Run line: BOS +1.5, -152 brings enough juice to make the straight money the primary play.

Over/under: A big number (11) is getting pressure on the downside (under, -116). The OVER (-104) is a decent analytics play.

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