Tesco – Crossing The Finish Line As Spending Normalises

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First quarter like-for-like (LFL) sales rose 1% to £13.4bn, as Tesco PLC (LON:TSCO) laps the heightened demand from the pandemic this time last year. 0.5% growth in the UK (75% of total sales) and 9.2% growth in Wholesale business Booker (13% of sales), offset declines in the Republic of Ireland and Central Europe.

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Q1 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

In the UK, online sales grew 22.2% on last year, but these are up over 80% on a two-year basis. General Merchandise and Clothing LFLs rose 10.3% and 52.1% respectively. Tesco Bank sales fell 10%.

The profit guidance from April is unchanged.

The shares were unmoved following the announcement.

A Look At Tesco's Q1 Earnings

Sophie Lund-Yates, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown:

Tesco’s first quarter numbers look sluggish, but that’s because they’re lapping the unprecedented demand triggered by the pandemic this time last year. While Tesco might be catching its breath as it crosses the finish line, the work doesn’t stop there. As we know, Covid has massively accelerated the shift to online, and digital demand is going to remain heightened. Tesco has done an amazing job of ramping up digital capacity, and is outshining some peers. Keeping hold of that momentum will require a near perfect execution of its attempts to build scale.

There’s a wider read across from these results too – General Merchandise and Clothing seem to be faring very well, albeit they’re starting from a much lower base after the pandemic slashed demand last year. It seems people’s spending patterns are normalising, and not necessarily reining in expenditure despite lingering economic uncertainty. The shakedown in consumer habits hasn’t finished yet, but this early indication could have positive connotations for other retailers.”


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