Ohio Democrats, Republicans look ahead to bitter November battle for US Senate
In the heady aftermath of his sweep of all 88 Ohio counties, Bernie Moreno has arrived.
His sudden success has left Sherrod Brown unfazed, but knowing this will be his toughest re-election campaign yet.
"Bernie Moreno will fire up Ohioans and fire up our base," proclaimed State Republican Chairman Alex Triantafilou.
He travels the state extensively.
"As we like to say in northeastern Ohio, you see a lot of pickup trucks with a union sticker on one side of the window and a Trump sticker on the other. And that's happened a lot because those men and women feel left behind by the current Democratic Party," Triantafilou said.
Some Democrats are gleeful about Moreno's victory in the three-way Republican primary, believing his positions on immigration and choice will make him easier to beat in the general election.
"So, they're underestimating Bernie Moreno and that's okay."
Triatafilou has watched Moreno work a room and thinks there's a hard rural reality working in Moreno's favor.
"Ohioans are worried about the future of the country. They see things changing, changing too fast for them. They see a Democratic Party that was once for working-class Americans, it doesn't feel like they're like that anymore."
The Brown campaign had Cincinnati Mayor Aftab Pureval in campaign attack mode today.
"Sherrod Brown has a track record of success specifically for working-class Ohioans, Bernie Moreno only has a track record of enriching himself", Pureval told us.
There is shore-to-shore attention on Ohio's Senate race because it could determine which party controls that body.
Voters will evaluate relentless ads, how both men relate, and the struggle over strategy, what plays best for each.
"For Moreno, he would like nothing more than for folks to choose a party and vote it," explained UC Political Science Professor David Niven. "For Sherrod Brown, he wants you to think about the person. And if they think about the person, Sherrod Brown has shown he can win in Ohio as a Democrat even when no other Democrat can."
Brown is the Democrat's only statewide elected official.
The Trump effect that catapulted J. D. Vance to the Senate has now propelled Moreno in that direction.
Pureval describes Moreno as "a rich guy" and "a MAGA extremist."
He wants voters to specifically ponder Brown's record and what it has meant locally.
"Presidential candidate after presidential candidate has done a press conference in front of the Brent Spence bridge. President Biden and Senator Brown were the ones to actually get it done," he stated.
How Moreno got it done last night is rooted in turnout.
Votes in the large counties like Hamilton were much smaller in number as a percentage when compared to rural counties.
Republican Bill Seitz referenced Sen. Bill Blessing's primary win by way of example.
"He got 22,000 votes, but most of the other Senators in the rural areas were getting 35 or 40,000 votes. That sort of tells you something," said Seitz.
Here's one other thing it tells Niven about the campaign ahead.
"We're going to be looking at record spending for Ohio. There is no doubt this will be the most expensive race in Ohio's history."
Frank LaRose put in a couple-hundred thousand from his own wallet and was nowhere near the same ballpark as Moreno and Dolan, who wrote multi-million dollar checks.
"It is becoming a rich man's game", added Seitz, who's retiring from the Statehouse once 2024 is put to bed. "Between all the national interests that are going to come wading in here, that Senate race I wouldn't be a bit surprised to see the total spending in that U. S. Senate race by November to be well in excess of $100 million."
Niven also believes Tuesday's results show it's the end of the line for the old-guard Republican establishment.
"The kind of candidates that they've been running for generations. The kind of polite, country club-type candidates who don't run on grievance necessarily, who don't breathe fire of the current issues."
There was an effort by Gov. Mike DeWine and former Sen. Rob Portman to bolster Dolan and try to put him over the top.
It toppled as the Trump train roared through once again.