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  • Dodgers 6, Twins 3: Too Little, Too Late


    Ted Schwerzler

    The Minnesota Twins outhomered the Dodgers Tuesday. It's just that the Dodgers' homers counted for way more than the Twins' did. It's another frustrating loss for the home nine.

    Image courtesy of © Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score
    Starting Pitcher:
    Louie Varland 5.0 IP, 7 H, 6 R, 6 ER, 3 BB, 6 K (97 pitches, 63 strikes, 7 whiffs)
    Home Runs: Ryan Jeffers(2), Carlos Correa (1), Alex Kirilloff (1)
    Bottom 3 WPA: Louie Varland (-.254), Edouard Julien (-.071), Byron Buxton (-.050)

    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)

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    Varland Deals With Traffic
    Wanting to set the tone after Bailey Ober put up one of the best starts the Dodgers have faced all season, Louie Varland worked around a leadoff Mookie Betts walk. Getting Shohei Ohtani on a strikeout and forcing Freddie Freeman into a ground ball double play, he escaped damage.

    Following the Twins lineup going down in order during the bottom half of the 1st, Varland had to bear down again in the 2nd inning. A walk to Max Muncy and a two-out single from James Outman put Dodgers on the corners. Not frazzled, Varland got a grounder from Chris Taylor to wrap up a scoreless second frame.

    The ability to battle is something that Varland will need against good lineups, but he’ll need to avoid walks and getting behind in counts to a lineup that can rake like Los Angeles. He started the third by retiring Gavin Lux, doing himself the favor of starting the second trip through the Dodger gauntlet with clean bases. Varland got Betts looking, but Ohtani then ripped a screamer to right for a double. After being ahead of Freeman with a 1-2 count, Varland ended up in a full count, but he confounded the future Hall of Fame first baseman with a curve to escape once more.

    Martin Lands, Drought Extends
    Austin Martin had been looking for his first major-league hit through four at-bats, and in his fifth, he found it. Martin looped a ball to center field. Outman charged in and made a dive, but came up short. The former top prospect raced into second and put another runner in scoring position for Minnesota.

    As has been the case during the early going of this season, Martin found himself stranded. Looking to avenge his leadoff strikeout, Julien took ball one and then was punched out on the next three pitches. The inability to score has become a massive problem once again, and the Dodgers immediately made it hurt.

    Will Smith started the 4th inning with a single, before Varland got Muncy. A Teoscar Hernández single with two strikes put runners on first and second. Then, as he did last night, Outman homered. The three-run blast broke the tie, and Minnesota was once again going to need to get to work.

    Strikeouts Remain an Issue
    Dave Roberts has a great team, but the trio of starters going against Minnesota this series are all beatable--aside from Glasnow. The former Tampa Bay Rays star stepped onto the rubber ready to dominate. Martin’s hit was the only baserunner he allowed through the first four innings, and the Twins' ineptitude at the dish grew increasingly maddening.

    Baldelli’s lineup sent 13 hitters to the plate through four frames, of which eight went down on strikes. Glasnow produced 14 whiffs on his first 47 pitches; the Minnesota lineup had no idea what to do with him.

    Of course, as they did early in the evening, Los Angeles took an opportunity to add momentum. Varland walked Betts before getting Ohtani on a flyout. Freeman singled the other way, and then Smith blasted the second three-run bomb of the evening. What started so promisingly for Varland went pear-shaped in a hurry. After completing the 5th inning, Varland’s night was done and Cole Sands took over for the 6th.

    Stewart Takes Over
    Sands worked two scoreless innings of relief and continued his sharp start to the season. Allowing just a single hit, and an additional runner on a walk, Sands recorded four strikeouts of his own. Following a few more strikeouts of Twins by Glasnow and a lightning-themed entrance, Stewart was on the bump for the 8th inning.

    It was hardly smooth sailing for Stewart in the 8th inning. A pair of walks and a single loaded the bases with two outs. With Ohtani stepping in, and Stewart needing to get out of it, the $700-million man grounded out on a second-pitch cutter off the plate.

    Still looking to avoid the shutout, and with Alex Vesia taking over for Glasnow, time was running out. Ryan Jeffers launched a one-out dinger to left field for his second of the year. While he is just 3-for-25 in 2024, two of those hits have left the yard for Minnesota’s catcher.

    Alcalá Back On
    Despite dealing with substantial arm issues over the past handful of years, Jorge Alcalá was asked to do a lot of heavy lifting on Saturday against the Guardians. After a postponement on Sunday and being down on Monday, Alcala got the 9th inning tonight. He looked to have turned a page on whatever the injury scare was, getting the side in order. Striking out Freeman (who went down for the third time tonight) and Muncy punctuated his outing. In 5 2/3 innings this year, Alcalá owns a 6/2 K/BB.

    Needing to erase a five-run deficit, Correa was up first against Connor Brogdon in his Dodgers debut, and he welcomed him with a big fly. Not to be outdone, Kirilloff made it back-to-back jacks, sending a ball over the left-field wall. Buxton and José Miranda couldn’t keep the run going, though, and Wallner went down on strikes for the fourth time to end the night.

    Notes
    The Minnesota Twins shuffled a few different players around before their game on Tuesday. Max Kepler was placed on the 10-day injured list with a knee contusion, and Michael Tonkin was acquired from the New York Mets for cash considerations. To put Tonkin on the roster, Minnesota transferred Zack Weiss to the 60-day injured list.

    A couple of reinforcements could be on the way for the bullpen as well. Both Caleb Thielbar and Josh Staumont are starting rehab assignments with Triple-A St. Paul.

    Last year, the Twins strikeout woes produced 12 games with 13 or more strikeouts and three or fewer runs scored. That was the highest number of such games in team history. After doing it again tonight, they have accomplished the feat three times through their first nine games in 2024. Going 0-for-3 with runners in scoring position, the Twins are 0-for-28 over their past four games.

    What’s Next? 
    Chris Paddack gets the ball against a former divisional foe on Wednesday afternoon. It was during his rookie season that he posted his best performances, and three of his 26 starts came against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Minnesota will be looking to end the homestand on a high note as they hit the road for a series against both Detroit and Baltimore.

    Postgame Interviews

     

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

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    I know this is not a popular opinion but winning last year against the Blue Jays in the postseason may have been a mistake. If our playoff futility would have continued, that would have likely meant less time with this front office, their philosophy, and the manager.

    Pulling Ober yesterday for the "spooky" third time around the lineup while rolling with pitch count under 70 was dumb. Allowing Varland to throw 97 times while allowing the back breaking 3-run bomb was even more dumb.

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    Yawn, yawn, yawn.  Another early season disaster.  It's OK.  Rocco says games this early don't matter.  It's obvious when only 17,000 made it to the game tonight and 15,000 the previous night.  Were talking the Dodgers here.  Not the Royals.  Right now the team is very boring just like last year's start.  It's tough to play such rotten boring baseball that people don't go.  A very poor spring training didn't excite the fan base much.  It continues to bore us the first 9 games.  Go Twins!!

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    I'm a huge Wallner fan, but he looks like he's totally lost out there. The 2nd inning strikeout was BS. Called 3rd strike was way low. In the bottom of the 5th, Wallner was just a statue taking a pitch right down the middle for strike 3. Ump missed a ball called a strike inside on the 2nd pitch on Wallner again in the 7th.

    Even though he's getting the shaft seemingly a solid couple times a game, he can't be letting strike three sail by in the dead center of the plate. 

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    Unwatchable:

    Runs in MLB (fewest)

    - Chicago White Sox (23)
    - Minnesota Twins (26)
    - Oakland A's (34)

    Twins could go out there and drop 8 on the Dodgers today and still be 29th out of 30 in runs. 

    Batting Average (worst)
    - Minnesota Twins (.181)
    - Miami Marlins (.204)

    23 points separate the Twins from the next worst team. People say batting average doesn't matter. It does to me. I like watching a team that gets hits. Who doesn't? 

    Stolen bases in MLB (fewest)
    - SF Giants (0)
    - Minnesota Twins (2)

    Even when they get on base, they just stand there. 

    In short, they can't hit, they can't run, and they can't score. The most difficult team to watch in MLB right now from a fan's perspective and frankly it's not even close. 

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    I was completely unaware because I pay attention to the Twins, but... did I see Glasnow pitched 7 innings for the Dodgers? Are you still allowed to do that in todays game? How did the Twins not score 15 runs in the 7th inning if they were going through the lineup a third time!?!  

    At present, Correa, Buxton, Lewis, and Kiriloff are the only players on this team that anyone else would covet. Other than that it's a team filled with AAA 1/2 players. I'd love for them to prove me wrong, but until the managment's philosophy of all or nothing changes this team will not succeed against any good teams.

     

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    Louie looked pretty good out of the pen last fall; not so good in 2 starts this year (9 runs in 9 innings).

    Time to reassess his role??  Anyone in St. Paul we might want to look at instead?  

    If we are going to go with 12 pitchers for any length of time, we need more than 4 or 5 innings a start, and we are already being cautious with Paddock; how long can the pen throw 45% of our innings pitched?  Will we get our offense going at the same time our pen fades from overuse?  

    Stay tuned for these answers and more in the next installment of "As the Twins Turn".  😉

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    8 hours ago, FlyingFinn said:

    The positives - Martin had a great night. Correa and Kirilloff are playing well. Alcala isn't injured and pitched. Bullpen is looking good without a lot of guys that we planned on. That's about it. Need a lot more hitters to do something.

    The bullpen is doing their job to date, unfortunately it doesn't matter when you cannot score runs while striking out nearly 40-50% of your AB's. 

    Tomorrow the brooms are brought out and on to Detroit where 1-3 would be a win. Who could have seen this coming with the plate approach deployed by Rocco and Co.?

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    6 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    I'm a huge Wallner fan, but he looks like he's totally lost out there. The 2nd inning strikeout was BS. Called 3rd strike was way low. In the bottom of the 5th, Wallner was just a statue taking a pitch right down the middle for strike 3. Ump missed a ball called a strike inside on the 2nd pitch on Wallner again in the 7th.

    Even though he's getting the shaft seemingly a solid couple times a game, he can't be letting strike three sail by in the dead center of the plate. 

    Starting the season 12 for 15 is bad? opps that K's, he is actually 1 for 15.

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    6 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    Attendance has become a real problem.

    Everybody I know (everybody that I talk to about the Twins) say they are holding off going to games until after memorial day, For multiple reasons, payroll being #1, but the Wolves season isn't helping, just going downtown, and team is hard to watch on TV, why pay to watch it.

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    9 hours ago, twinzcynic said:

    I know this is not a popular opinion but winning last year against the Blue Jays in the postseason may have been a mistake. If our playoff futility would have continued, that would have likely meant less time with this front office, their philosophy, and the manager.

    Pulling Ober yesterday for the "spooky" third time around the lineup while rolling with pitch count under 70 was dumb. Allowing Varland to throw 97 times while allowing the back breaking 3-run bomb was even more dumb.

    And if Ober had given up the 3-run dinger you'd be burying Rocco for that. If Varland had gotten yanked you'd be burying him for not giving the kid a chance or something. Position noted: you hate the manager, you hate the front office, and want them all fired. Got it.

    If the offense doesn't get going, it might happen to all of them.

    That said, anyone who thinks that winning a playoff series last year was a bad thing isn't much of a Twins fan.

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    Almost every team goes through a funk. Last year, the Dodgers, Rays and Braves had their funk in the playoffs. The Twins aren't as bad as they've played, but some of the guys need to get it going soon or St. Paul is in their future. I've thought Varland could be a decent starter, but I am starting to wonder whether his call might be the bullpen. Move him there and see if Woods Richardson can be a credible starter.

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    26 minutes ago, TwinsDr2021 said:

    Everybody I know (everybody that I talk to about the Twins) say they are holding off going to games until after memorial day, For multiple reasons, payroll being #1, but the Wolves season isn't helping, just going downtown, and team is hard to watch on TV, why pay to watch it.

    I think it has more to do with how inconsistent weather is in april in MN; today is going to be in the 60's and lovely. monday was dreary, cool, gray, and with showers. people don't want to spend a packet on tickets and then have it be cold and/or rainy for baseball. when it's sunny and nice, a day game at Target Field is glorious. when it's cold and grey and raining...it's ain't as fun. and night games when it's in the 40's can be rough.

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    1 minute ago, stringer bell said:

    Almost every team goes through a funk. Last year, the Dodgers, Rays and Braves had their funk in the playoffs. The Twins aren't as bad as they've played, but some of the guys need to get it going soon or St. Paul is in their future. I've thought Varland could be a decent starter, but I am starting to wonder whether his call might be the bullpen. Move him there and see if Woods Richardson can be a credible starter.

    If he doesn't solve his 3-run HR problem, he'll be in the bullpen. Giving up too many HRs are a problem for any starter, but it's mitigated when you keep runners off base in front of them. If you give up a hit and walk and then the bomb, you're in big trouble. 

    I do still like SWR as a potential rotation option.

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    I'm a fan of Martin, & stood up for him against all the negative hype that's floating around. I knew it was a matter of time before Martin would start rolling. RH Martin showed that he can play every day by hitting ace RHP Glasnow which very few on this team have shown that they can. I believe that Martin will prove me right that he'll impact the Twins much more than many believe.

    Varland had pitched 3 great innings, I advocated & still am for Varland to piggyback with Paddack. To gradually add to his innings. Bring up Headrick to help supplement the pitching staff. The BP have been very good, A BP game against LAD, IMO was not out of the question.

    We out-homered the opposition but lost again. We haven't hit very many HRs but when we have, many times they are solos.  Focusing on HRs isn't the answer it's getting clutch hits not striking out in the clutch. I hate to keep hitting a dead dog but I don't think the dog is dead. & this FO will try to resuscitate the dog when they finally turn things around. (sorry about the analogy, I'd never beat a dog)

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    40 minutes ago, TwinsDr2021 said:

    Everybody I know (everybody that I talk to about the Twins) say they are holding off going to games until after memorial day, . .

    May 15th is always my arbitrary date before I touch a ticket; needs to warm up a bit. Played on too many cold days myself. Then I will see my usual 10 games a year, picking my opponents/starting pitchers.

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    39 minutes ago, jmlease1 said:

    And if Ober had given up the 3-run dinger you'd be burying Rocco for that. If Varland had gotten yanked you'd be burying him for not giving the kid a chance or something.

     

    What was the difference that allowed Varland to face Ohtani a third time and not Ober? the score? it being the 5th and not the 6th, somebody thought we can't beat Glasnow so don't wast the pen? Was it because of the first games they pitched? Ober hadn't given up a run since the first, Varland just gave up a three run homer. I just don't get the inconsistency?

    And yes I would be burying Rocco if Ober game up a three run homer, but not for the reason you think (which I assume would be bringing him out in the 6th, no it would have been because he left him in long enough after giving up base runners that allowed a three run homer, so you know like he did with Varland )

    EDIT Addition - I haven't complained about leaving Varland in and I only questioned why Ober was taken out the game before.

     

     

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    31 minutes ago, Verified Member said:

    Really, payroll is the number one reason why some will not attend? I just find that so odd.

    Why, the Twins cut the payroll spending by 20% or something, and the price of attending went up? I can see why that would make people shy away, I honestly believe it is some combination of that and the weather, how the game is played, the timberwolves, being downtown and the lack of seeing them on TV. My best Twins fans friends have said it is kind of a weight and see, if things are looking good they will end up going to games this summer, but if they are a .500 team chasing teams in the Central then they will probably spent their money elsewhere.

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    1 hour ago, Verified Member said:

    Really, payroll is the number one reason why some will not attend? I just find that so odd.

    Did you think the Pohlads actively making the team worse was going to increase attendance?  My theory is that some fans are very sick of the Pohlad greed are deciding to spend their money elsewhere.  

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