The Atlanta Braves (8-4) and Miami Marlins (2-12) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from loanDepot park is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 1-0
Atlanta got back in the win column with an 8-1 win over Miami in the series opener Friday. The Braves got the scoring started in the 1st inning with an RBI double from 3B Austin Riley. They had 8 runs on 14 hits and an explosive 5-run 7th inning. LHP Max Fried picked up the win with 1 ER through 6 1/3 innings.
Miami had just 1 run on 6 hits in its return home from a 6-game roadtrip. Marlins 3B Emmanuel Rivera had the team’s sole RBI. LHP Trevor Rogers picked up the loss after giving up 2 ER and 8 hits in 5 innings.
Braves at Marlins projected starters
LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP Max Meyer
Sale (1-0, 3.38 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.69 BB/9 and 11 K/9 in 10 2/3 innings.
- Braves are 1-1 in his starts this season
- Has allowed a combined 4 ER in both appearances
- 2023 stats: 6-5, 4.30 ERA (102 2/3 IP, 49 ER) in 20 starts with Boston Red Sox
Meyer (1-0, 2.45 ERA) makes his 3rd start this season and 5th of his career. He has a 0.73 WHIP, 2.45 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 11 innings.
- Marlins are 1-1 in his starts this season
- Has allowed just 3 ER and 5 hits in both appearances combined
- Made 2 starts in 2022 before missing the remainder of the season with an elbow injury; was out last season due to Tommy John surgery
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Braves at Marlins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Marlins +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-120) | Marlins -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Braves at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 4, Marlins 3
Moneyline
PASS.
There is no value on Atlanta (-200), which is 8-4 this season, to beat a Miami team that is just 2-12, including 0-8 at home.
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN MARLINS +1.5 (+100).
Two of Atlanta’s last 5 wins have come by more than 2 runs, and the Braves face Meyer, who has only allowed 5 hits combined in his 2 appearances.
With him on the mound, Miami will have an opportunity to keep this game within reach. The Marlins have scored 18 runs in their last 5 games, while Meyer has allowed just 3 ER combined through 2 starts. He will be the reason the Marlins cover.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).
Expect Saturday’s game to be a battle of pitching between a veteran in Sale and a rookie in Meyer. Both pitchers have elevated control and low ERAs through their 2 previous starts. Miami has hit the Under in 3 of its last 4 games and held opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 4 of its last 6.
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