CSU’s 2024 hurricane season outlook predicts above average tropical storms
NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WKRN) — Colorado State University has released a hurricane prediction for the upcoming 2024 season that starts on June 1. This year’s forecast was the most active April forecast they have ever released.
CSU’s report shows there could be 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and five major hurricanes for the 2024 hurricane season. A major hurricane is a category three storm or above or has sustained winds reaching 150 mph or higher.
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On average, there are 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes.
Ryan Husted, the Warning Coordination Meteorologist at the Nashville National Weather Service, explained that the reason the storms could be stronger than usual is because conditions are changing from El Nino to La Nina.
“When we have El Nino, it means weather disturbance travel further south. Which means there’s more wind shear and it tears apart these tropical storms and hurricanes before they’re even able to get going,” said Husted. “So, when we have El Nino conditions we expect lower hurricane numbers. In La Nina years the wind shear is much less allowing these tropical storms and hurricanes to develop at a much more frequent pace.”
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The official forecast will come out from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA) in May when we know more about the transition of the El Nino and La Nina conditions.
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