Economics

Will Fed Pause? Will ECB Hike? Will Trade War Thaw?: Economy Q&A

  • Bloomberg Economics seeks to answer the key 2019 questions
  • Will China control its slowdown? Will emerging markets suffer?

The European Central Bank (ECB) skyscraper headquarters, right, at dusk in Frankfurt, Germany.

Photographer: Alex Kraus/Bloomberg
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Reporters and economists from Bloomberg Economics seek to answer the key questions for the world economy in 2019.

No. For sure, financial markets are skittish, central banks are turning away from easy money and there is a trade war under way. But the International Monetary Fund still forecasts a third year of growth around 3.7 percent, and even if the world falls short of that it’s still set for a fairly decent expansion. Ballast should come from monetary policy staying historically loose, governments easing fiscal policy and tight labor markets.