This article highlights three reasons for gold to continue higher as cited by a Bloomberg report on the gold market. They are as follows:

1. Gold futures in contango

Contango is when the futures price of a commodity is higher than its spot price. The contango in the gold market is very steep at the moment which shows that heavy demand is likely to drive spot prices up higher. Strong demand for gold futures has been significant in driving prices higher since 2019.

2. Gold futures managed money net positions are at a healthy level

Managed futures positions are at their least net long in over a year which is indicative of a healthy, strong bull market. This is positive as positions that are very long in a bull market or very short in a bear market can indicate extreme and overextended positions. However, CME gold net longs on the chart below are around 22% and well below the 50% high point from August. So, with gold fundamentals still firmly in place for gold bugs, there is still plenty of space for more buyers to step in without any sign of an overstretched market. Furthermore, the spot price is near the 20 simple moving average on the weekly timeframe (the strong gold line) which is near term technical support.

Gold

3. Gold technicals look strong on narrowing Bollinger Bands

On top of price moving towards the 20 SMA spot prices have also approached the narrowest 50-day Bollinger bands. The technical picture favours a break higher as the price is at the bottom end of the band. See the chart below:

Gold

Learn more about HYCM

Our products and commentary provides general advice that do not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. The content of this website must not be construed as personal advice.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.

GBP/USD News

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses. 

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures