The Idaho Vandals will take on the UC Davis Aggies at 6 p.m. ET on Thursday at the Convocation Center in an early-season college hoops matchup. Both teams are 1-1; UC Davis is 1-0 at home, while Idaho is 0-1 on the road. The Vandals have won six consecutive meetings against UC-Davis dating back to 2011 and have a 3-2 record against the spread in those head-to-head matchups. However, it was UC-Davis that covered last year in a 68-66 loss as 6.5-point underdogs. The Aggies are favored by 3.5 points in the latest UC Davis vs. Idaho odds, while the over-under is set at 133.5. Before entering any Idaho vs. UC Davis picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has crushed its top-rated against the spread college basketball picks the past three years, returning $2,770 to $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, it has simulated UC Davis vs. Idaho 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in nearly 70 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
UC Davis simply couldn't be stopped last week, as it easily beat William Jessup 109-63. The Aggies have a senior-led squad with center Matt Neufeld, guard Stefan Gonzalez and guard Joe Mooney back from last year's squad. Mooney is the brother of former Texas Tech star Matt Mooney, and he averaged 9.9 points per game a season ago while Neufeld is a Saint Louis transfer who averaged 7.8 points per game in his first season for UC-Davis. Gonzalez is a transfer from St. Mary's who averaged 6.9 points per game a season ago. All three of those players are averaging double-figures in scoring through two games along with freshman point guard Ezra Manjon.
Meanwhile, the Vandals came up short against UC Riverside, falling 58-51. It was simply a rough shooting night for Idaho, as it shot 36.7 percent from the field, 18.8 percent from the 3-point line and just 52.2 percent from the free-throw line. However, the Vandals shot much better in their season-opening win over Evergreen State (49.3/29.2/81.3). Last year's leading scorer Trevon Allen (14.0 ppg) has stepped up his game so far in 2019-20. Allen had 23 points in the win over Evergreen State and 18 points in the loss to UC-Riverside, leading the team in both games.
So who wins Idaho vs. UC Davis? And which side of the spread is hitting nearly 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread to back on Thursday, all from the advanced model that has crushed its college basketball picks.
