Florida has given the vaccine to more seniors than any other state, making it ripe for real-time research on the people most vulnerable to the deadly virus.
Because so few elderly people were included in the vaccine trials, much remains unknown about how the vaccine will affect them. Answers may now come from Florida, where Gov. Ron DeSantis chose to give the vaccine first to nursing home residents and where nearly a million people over 65 have now been vaccinated.
Until now, research about the vaccine’s effect on older people has been minimal and short term. Of the 21,720 people who received the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine rather than the placebo in its phase 3 trial, 7,971 or 37% were over age 55. Pfizer’s study did not include a breakout for those 65 and older. In the Moderna phase 3 trial, of the 15,181 volunteers given the vaccine rather than the placebo, 3,763 or 25 percent were older than 65.
Both trials have been going on less than a year.
Florida is certain to be carefully studied for how its older population fares as the state attempts to vaccinate its entire population of 4.5 million seniors.
Among the key outcomes researchers will monitor: What side effects occur in older adults and with what frequency? Will the vaccine offer significant protection to those who are frail or have multiple chronic illnesses? When seniors make antibodies, how long will their immunity to COVID-19 last?
“I think we will learn more as we vaccinate more seniors,” said Dorinda Segovia, vice president of pharmacy services at Memorial Healthcare System. “Time will tell. So far, everything looks very promising.”
What research already shows
In clinical trials, some differences emerged in how COVID vaccines affected older adults: According to an analysis of the Moderna vaccine trial published in the New England Journal of Medicine, the vaccine was 95.6% effective for participants 18 to 65 years, while it was only 86.4% effective for those older than 65 years. Pfizer, on the other hand, reported that its vaccine was effective at 94% in individuals older than 65 years of age, compared with 95% across all ages.
Also, seniors in both trials reported milder and less frequent adverse reactions such as pain at the injection than younger participants.
Researchers still do not know if the immune response in vaccinated older individuals stays robust over time, particularly compared with younger adults.
“We can’t say for sure whether the vaccine efficacy is worse or better in seniors,” said Dr. Glenn Morris, director of the Emerging Pathogen Institute at the University of Florida. “We don’t have the data. That is the downside of having done the trials this quickly. The approach Florida has taken is reasonable but I do think we need to continue to collect the data and in a timely fashion and adjust our strategy if needed.”
Throughout the pandemic, the coronavirus’ grip on the state’s elderly has been tragically clear: 83% of those who have died of the virus were over 65 years old. This has led seniors in the state to swamp phone lines and websites to score appointments for vaccination.
Keep vaccine expectations in check
Benjamin Neuman, a professor of biology and chief virologist at Texas A&M University, said older people should be encouraged by the vaccine but will need to be realistic about expectations for long-term protection. Neuman said seniors tend to lose antibodies faster than younger people and should expect to receive immunity for only about six months after receiving the second dose of either the Moderna or Pfizer vaccines.
“It may go longer but I think that’s all you can expect from the data we have now,” he said. Moderna has said immunity should last a year for recipients, but the manufacturer does not have long-term results yet from clinical trial participants.
Dr. Roy Soiza, a researcher with University of Aberdeen and author of “Efficacy and safety of COVID-19 vaccines in older people,” told the Sun Sentinel that although major vaccine manufacturers made an effort to recruit people over 65 in clinical trials, they failed to include the highest risk groups — such as older people sick enough to be in long-term care.
“Of special concern is the possibility that those with advanced frailty and failing immune systems may not respond as well to the vaccine,” Soiza said.
Soiza said vaccine side effects in the trials have been mild among those 65 and older, but “there is an evidence gap in the frailest seniors,” he said. “Having a sore arm for a couple of days may be the difference between a senior being independently mobile or not, and immobility is a killer in this age group.”
Vaccine reactions
Anyone who receives the vaccine gets observed for 15 to 30 minutes at the site. People who develop reactions after that are expected to self-report through a Centers for Disease Control Prevention smartphone app or its website, or through their primary care doctor. The CDC also has a monitoring system for long-term care facilities.
“No one in the entire study was hospitalized or died as a result of the vaccine,” notes Neuman, the Texas A & M biologist and vaccine expert. “There is not really a downside for seniors to be vaccinated. We don’t’ know how big the benefit is but there is not a downside. This isn’t going hurt and it could at least help a little. It will probably help a lot.”
At Memorial Regional, Melida Akiti, vice president of ambulatory and community services, vaccinated more than 4,000 seniors at her East Hollywood location over the last week. “I even vaccinated a 101-year-old woman,” she said. “I do a lot of hand holding.”
Akiti said she encourages seniors to get the vaccine, regardless of how much research has been done. “We don’t know side effects because it was just a short-term study, but we know the outcome of COVID. We know COVID does kill the elderly and we know this vaccine is hope.”
Dr. David Moen, president of Prospero Health Partners, which specializes in caring for elderly people with chronic health conditions in Florida and 19 other states, said he too encourages seniors to get the vaccine.
“We help our patients understand, especially those with chronic illnesses, that this is the best way to protect themselves and halt the spread,” he said. “I would anticipate six months to a year is the low side of how long antibodies will last. We don’t know enough to promise anything to a senior, but we do know it’s safer to be vaccinated than not.”
Health reporter Cindy Goodman can be reached at cgoodman@sunsentinel.com.
This story has been updated to reflect that Prospero Health Partners can be found in 20 states.