HURRICANE

No tropical activity expected over next 5 days. Multiple cold fronts on their way

Cheryl McCloud
Palm Beach Post

With just over two weeks to go before the official end of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, the tropics are finally quiet.

While no tropical development is expected over the next five days, storms and cooler weather could be in store for the Southeast as several cold fronts make their way through the area.

A strong cold front pushed through Florida Sunday, bringing with it heavy rain and thunderstorms to some locations.

Rain is possible as a front moves through portions of Florida and all of Georgia this week.

Tuesday could bring more severe storms to portions of the Florida Panhandle. Damaging winds and an isolated tornado are possible, according to the Florida Public Radio Emergency Network.

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A cold front is forecast to enter the northwestern Gulf of Mexico tonight, and a new cold front will reach from southeastern Louisiana to near Tampico, Mexico, by Tuesday morning and reach from North Florida to the Bay of Campeche by Wednesday. Strong winds are forecast to follow the front, according to the National Hurricane Center.

The next cold front is forecast to move off  Northeast Florida on Wednesday and reach the Straits of Florida by Thursday morning.

What may be more welcome news is that cooler weather may be on the way for several areas in the Southeast. 

Locations as far south as the Gulf Coast and Florida Panhandle will dip into the 30s on Monday morning, with freeze warnings being issued across central Alabama and Georgia, as well as farther north in the Mid-Atlantic, according to the National Weather Service.

After back-to-back hurricanes hit Florida, no immediate tropical threat is welcome news to residents still picking up the pieces from Hurricane Ian and Hurricane Nicole.

However, AccuWeather forecasters are warning residents to continue monitoring what's happening in the tropics since there is a potential for another late-season storm.

Track all active storms

Excessive rainfall forecast

The Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean are the areas most likely for tropical development due to warm waters. Atmospheric conditions right now, though, aren't favorable for storm development.

Potential for tropical development low right now do to wind shear.

"An area of strong vertical wind shear over the eastern Atlantic, the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean in the coming week will make tropical development less likely," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Adam Douty.

"If the wind shear were to lessen over these areas, it would be possible for a tropical system to form before the end of November," said Douty.

Here's the latest update from the NHC as of  7 a.m. Nov. 14:  

What's out there and where are they?

Who is likely to be impacted? 

Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared.

When is the Atlantic hurricane season?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.

When is the peak of hurricane season?

Hurricane season's ultimate peak is Sept. 10 but the season goes through Nov. 30. Credit: NOAA

Although the season has gotten off to a quiet start, the peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.

Weather watches and warnings issued for your area

Tropical forecast over next five days

See the National Hurricane Center's five-day graphical tropical weather outlook below.

Excessive rainfall forecast

What's out there?

Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center.

What's next? 

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