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Orlando Magic at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

The Orlando Magic (19-29) battle the Miami Heat (27-22) Friday. Tip from Miami-Dade Arena is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Magic vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

This will be the first of 4 meetings between these teams this year.

The Heat beat the Boston Celtics 98-95 Tuesday, covering as 2.5-point favorites and holding Boston to just 37 second-half points. Miami is 6-4 against the spread (ATS) over its last 10 but is just 20-27-2 ATS on the season. The Heat rank 2nd in the NBA in opponents’ points per game (108.2).

The Magic have been red-hot against the number, covering 6 of their last 7 games. They are coming off a 126-120 home win over the Indiana Pacers, covering as 5-point favorites. Orlando has scored at least 110 points in 5 straight games and it ranks 14th in the league in field goal percentage (47.3%).

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Magic at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Magic +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Heat -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Magic +8.5 (-120) | Heat -8.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Magic at Heat key injuries

Magic

  • None

Heat

  • G Caleb Martin (quadriceps) probable
  • G Max Strus (shoulder) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Magic at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 114, Magic 109

Moneyline

PASS.

The Heat are the better team here and are 16-9 straight up at home while Orlando is 6-17 on the road. Ultimately, neither value is worth the risk.

Against the spread

BET MAGIC +8.5 (-120).

Orlando is hot and Miami hasn’t been playing like it is 8.5 points better than any other team in the NBA. The Magic are 6-1 ATS over their last 7 games. Orlando is also a league-best 12-5-1 ATS following an ATS win.

Miami is the 2nd-worst team at home ATS this season at 8-15-2 ATS. Its highly-touted scoring defense is also inflated as it ranks 19th in opponents’ field goal percentage (47.4%).  The Heat have scored 100 or fewer points in 3 straight games and are 2-3 ATS over their last 5 outings.

Considering the Heat’s recent struggles and issues at home, back the MAGIC +8.5 (-120).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 219.5 (-110).

Orlando has gone Over in 4 of its last 5 games and is 26-22 O/U this season. It has an efficient offense that should force Miami to pick up its slow-tempo pace. The Magic are also 11-6-1 O/U following a win.

The Heat have gone Under in 3 straight games but are 2-3 O/U in their last 5. It should get back leading-scorer F Jimmy Butler in this game as well as he’s not on the injury report after he missed their most recent match with Boston.

Back the OVER 219.5 (-110).

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