The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (11-12, 2-8 WAC) hope to end a five-game road losing streak when they visit the Tarleton State Texans (12-10, 5-4 WAC) on Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 5:00 PM ET. In the article below, we analyze the Tarleton State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley odds and lines for this game.

The Texans enter their matchup against the Vaqueros as a 10-point favorite. The matchup features an over/under of 146.

Tarleton State is 9-10-0 against the spread this season compared to UT Rio Grande Valley’s 10-10-0 ATS record. The Texans are 10-9-0 and the Vaqueros are 11-8-1 in terms of going over the point total. The teams score 150.2 points per game, 4.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Tarleton State is 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall over its past 10 contests, while UT Rio Grande Valley has gone 5-5 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

Prepare for this matchup with everything you need to know ahead of Saturday’s college basketball action.

UT Rio Grande Valley at Tarleton State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.

• Spread: Tarleton State -10
• Total: 146
• Moneyline: Tarleton State -534, UT Rio Grande Valley +398

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Tarleton State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley prediction

Tarleton State 77, UT Rio Grande Valley 70

Moneyline

• Tarleton State has been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of five times this season, and it has won each of those games.
• The Texans have not played as a moneyline favorite of -534 or shorter.
• Based on this game’s moneyline, Tarleton State’s implied win probability is 84.2%.

• UT Rio Grande Valley has won five, or 31.2%, of the 16 games it has played as underdogs this season.
• The Vaqueros have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +398 odds on them winning this game.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that UT Rio Grande Valley has a 20.1% chance to win.

Against the spread

• Tarleton State has put together a 9-10-0 ATS record so far this year.
• UT Rio Grande Valley is 10-10-0 ATS this year.
• The Texans put up 71.5 points per game, 7.0 fewer points than the 78.5 the Vaqueros give up.
• Tarleton State is 2-0 against the spread and 5-0 overall when scoring more than 78.5 points.
• UT Rio Grande Valley is 3-0 against the spread and 3-2 overall when giving up fewer than 71.5 points.
• The Vaqueros average 11.1 more points per game (78.7) than the Texans give up (67.6).
• UT Rio Grande Valley is 7-4 against the spread and 10-4 overall when it scores more than 67.6 points.
• Tarleton State has an ATS record of 8-7 and an 11-7 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 78.7 points.

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Over/Under

• The average implied total for the Texans this season is 70.4 points, 7.6 fewer points than their implied total of 78 points in Saturday’s game.
• This season, Tarleton State has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (78) two times.
• The 81.7-point average implied total on the season for the Vaqueros is 13.7 more points than the team’s 68-point implied total in this matchup.
• So far this season, UT Rio Grande Valley has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (68) 11 times.

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