Methods
Data reported to CDC's National HIV Surveillance System from 50 states and the District of Columbia through June 2017 were used to estimate the total number of persons living with HIV infection (diagnosed and undiagnosed infection, or prevalence) at year-end 2015 and the median number of years and interquartile range between infection and diagnosis (diagnosis delay) of persons with HIV diagnosed in 2015.[8,9] The first CD4 test after HIV diagnosis and a CD4 depletion model indicating disease progression were used to estimate year of infection and the distribution of time from HIV infection to diagnosis among persons with diagnosed infection.[9] The distribution of diagnosis delay was used to estimate the annual number of HIV infections, which includes persons with diagnosed infection and persons with undiagnosed infection. HIV prevalence (persons with diagnosed or undiagnosed HIV infection) was estimated by subtracting reported cumulative deaths among persons with HIV infection from cumulative HIV infections.
The number of persons with undiagnosed HIV infection was estimated by subtracting the number of reported cumulative diagnoses from the number of estimated cumulative infections. The percentage of undiagnosed infections was determined by dividing the number of undiagnosed infections by the total HIV prevalence.
Data from NHBS were used to determine the percentage of persons at increased risk for infection who were tested in the past 12 months and the percentage who missed opportunities for testing.* NHBS monitors HIV-associated behaviors and HIV prevalence in cities† with high acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) prevalence among three populations with HIV risk behaviors: MSM, persons who inject drugs, and heterosexual persons at increased risk for HIV infection.
Cross-sectional data reported in this analysis are from MSM, persons who inject drugs, and heterosexual persons at increased risk for HIV infection recruited for face-to-face interviews and HIV testing through venue-based sampling (MSM) and respondent-driven sampling (persons who inject drugs and heterosexual persons) in NHBS surveys from 2008 to 2016. NHBS sampling procedures have been previously described.[10] Persons were eligible to participate if they resided in a participating city, could complete the survey in English or Spanish, and met cycle-specific inclusion criteria (MSM: born male, aged ≥18 years, identified as male, and had oral or anal sex with another man; persons who inject drugs: aged ≥18 years, injected drugs in the past 12 months; and heterosexual persons: male or female [not transgender], aged 18–60 years, had sex with a member of the opposite sex in the past 12 months, never injected drugs, and met low income or low education criteria).§ For inclusion in current analyses, participants must have tested negative during the NHBS cycle, MSM must have had sex with another man in the past 12 months, and persons who inject drugs must have been male or female (not transgender). Data were analyzed by sex, age, and race/ethnicity (American Indian or Alaska Native; Asian; black or African American [blacks]; Hispanic or Latino; Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander; white; and multiple race).
Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report. 2017;66(47):1300-1306. © 2017 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)