Special Report

This Is the County In the Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI Metro Area Where COVID-19 Is Growing the Fastest

Michael Ciaglo / Getty Images News via Getty Images

After adding over 637,000 new cases throughout the last week, the U.S. now has more than 44.3 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 710,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise, albeit at a slowing rate. In the past week, there were an average of 28.1 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — a decrease from the week prior, when there were an average of 33.4 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI, metro area consists of Kent County, Ottawa County, Montcalm County, and one other county. In the past week, there were an average of 46.8 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 Grand Rapids residents, greater than the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there was an average of 43.3 daily new cases per 100,000 Grand Rapids residents.

The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Grand Rapids-Kentwood metro area, COVID-19 is growing the fastest in Montcalm County. There were an average of 78.5 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Montcalm County during the past week, the most of the four counties in Grand Rapids with available data.

Case growth in the Grand Rapids metro area varies at the county level. In Ottawa County, for example, there were an average of 40.1 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the least of any county in Grand Rapids and more than the case growth rate in Montcalm County.

While Montcalm County is driving the growth of COVID-19 in the Grand Rapids area, it does not have the highest incidence of cases overall. As of October 14, there were a total of 12,443.8 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Montcalm County, the fourth most of the four counties in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 13,646.9 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Montcalm County, unemployment peaked at 26.6% in April 2020. As of June 2021, the county’s unemployment rate was 5.7%.

To determine the county in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the fastest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked counties according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending October 14. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data up from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Michigan where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

Rank in MSA County Population New daily cases per 100,000, week ending October 14 New daily cases per 100,000, week ending October 7 Cumulative cases per 100,000 Cumulative deaths per 100,000
1 Montcalm County 63,413 78.5 61.0 12,443.8 192.4
2 Ionia County 64,300 76.7 68.9 12,732.5 140.0
3 Kent County 648,121 43.6 41.8 13,649.0 147.5
4 Ottawa County 286,558 40.1 37.0 13,708.9 168.6

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