COVID-19: UK regulator to assess Oxford coronavirus vaccine in 'first step' towards roll-out

It comes a week after the MHRA was asked by the government to assess the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine.

Oxford and Astrazeneca vaccine
Image: AstraZeneca worked with Oxford University to develop the vaccine
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A roll-out of the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine in the UK could be a step closer after the regulator was formally asked by the government to assess the jab.

The referral to the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) "marks a significant first step in getting the vaccine approved for deployment" if it meets safety, efficacy and quality standards, the Department of Health and Social Care said.

It comes a week after the MHRA was asked by the government to assess the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine.

AstraZeneca's logo is reflected in a drop on a syringe needle in this illustration taken November 9, 2020.
Image: AstraZeneca says the new study will be international

The government has reserved 100 million doses of the Oxford vaccine.

In addition, it has secured around 40 million doses of the Pfizer vaccine - enough for 20 million people or about a third of the UK population.

On Thursday, AstraZeneca - the company collaborating with Oxford on the coronavirus vaccine - said it would run an extra trial of the jab.

Chief executive Pascal Soriot said it followed the accidental discovery that it performed best when half a dose was given, followed by a full one.

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"Now that we've found what looks like a better efficacy we have to validate this, so we need to do an additional study," Mr Soriot told Bloomberg.

It is likely to be an "international study, but this one could be faster because we know the efficacy is high so we need a smaller number of patients", he added.

The development is unlikely to hold up regulatory approval in the UK, Mr Soriot said.

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'We have a vaccine for the world'

Earlier this week, it was announced the vaccine is up to 90% effective in preventing COVID-19 - when half a dose is given first.

When two full doses were given at least a month apart, it had an efficacy of 62%.

A total of 2,741 people were on the course that proved 90% effective, while 8,895 were given two full measures.

Professor Andrew Pollard, director of the Oxford Vaccine Group, has said the 90% effectiveness finding had already met the "necessary statistical evidence as required by regulators".

But concerns have been raised by the scientific head of the US's Operation Warp Speed - the programme to deliver vaccines across America.

Moncef Slaoui told reporters the half-dose regime was given only to people aged 55 and under.

Peter Openshaw, professor of experimental medicine at Imperial College London, said if it was confirmed that only those under 55 had received half a dose first, "it may mean we don't have any information about this regimen in older adults".

He added: "All we have to go on is a limited data release."

Paul Hunter, professor of medicine at the University of East Anglia, said: "Given that many vaccines are less effective in older people, we have to be even more cautious about taking this 90% efficacy at face value, at least for older people."

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PM hopes for jab progress by Easter

But Helen Fletcher, professor of immunology at London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, said it was "remarkable" that Oxford and AstraZeneca had "gone from square one to 100 million doses in less than a year".

She added: "It's not surprising if some manufacturing issues were still being ironed out when they started clinical trials but early stage trials are all about safety and the safety data we have seen has been very robust."

Menelas Pangalos, AstraZeneca's head of biopharmaceutical research and development, said the discovery of a half-dose's effectiveness was made after a contractor made an error.

He said regulators were informed immediately and agreed to continued testing of the vaccine in different measures.

The half-dosing "could end up being quite a useful mistake", Mr Pangalos told the New York Times.

When asked about the Bloomberg report, a spokesman for AstraZeneca said: "As we communicated earlier this
week, there is strong merit in continuing to further investigate the half-dose/full dose regimen.

"We are further evaluating the data and will work with regulators on the best approach for further evaluation. This
would add to data from existing trials which are currently being prepared for regulatory submission."

Vials and medical syringe are seen in front of Moderna logo in this illustration. File pic
Image: A vaccine from Moderna has been shown to be 94.5% effective

Oxford University said it would not comment ahead of its data appearing in a peer-reviewed publication.

But in a statement, it said: "During the phase three trials, our UK study used two dose levels.

"The initial dose selection, which was agreed with regulators, was based on the same measurement of the concentration [using spectrophotometry] used in the phase one study, but, as a result of a difference in the manufacturing process for the later study, this method was subsequently shown to over-estimate the dose on the new batches of vaccine, resulting in a half dose of the vaccine being administered as the first dose.

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"We have different ways of measuring the concentration of the vaccine and, when it was apparent that a lower dose was used, we discussed this with the regulator, and agreed a plan to test both the lower dose/higher dose and higher dose/higher dose, allowing us to include both approaches in the phase three trial.

"The methods for measuring the concentration are now established and we can ensure that all batches of vaccine are now equivalent."

Ex-regulator and expert in clinical trials, Professor Stephen Evans, said he was "less concerned at a half dose, full dose, having greater efficacy".

He added: "It would mean that I would be happy to authorise the vaccine, assuming the rest of the data is okay."

Meanwhile, Professor Robert Winston, from Imperial College London, said: "We are extremely hungry at the moment and when you're hungry your appetite for something good is very likely to be enhanced and that's a bit of a problem.

"We have to be a bit careful about being over enthusiastic, but I don't think we should change the basic feeling that we are onto something really good for humanity at the moment."

Other jabs, from Pfizer and Moderna, were recently shown to be 95% and 94.5% effective respectively.

Pfizer vaccine
Image: The Pfizer vaccine has also had promising trial results

Analysis: Nothing is ever certain but optimism will not have been shaken

By Rowland Manthorpe, technology correspondent

With so much riding on the arrival of a vaccine, it's understandable if every twist and turn in their development comes under intense scrutiny. However, it's important to keep this latest drama in perspective.

The question is not whether the Oxford vaccine works, nor (barring a truly shocking revelation) whether it will have 62% efficacy, the result reported for the trial with two full doses.

The worry is that there might not be enough data to validate the trial result which showed 90% efficacy for a half dose followed by a full one, leading to a delay in approval, perhaps as long as several months - although most likely only for this dosage.

With millions of people stuck in lockdown, any delay is concerning. But, given that two months ago we were expecting vaccines to have 70% efficacy at best, this is a good worry to have.

It's also possible that it might not be a significant hurdle in the UK (American regulators are another matter. It is notable that most of this criticism of a European effort is coming from the US).

The full data from the Oxford vaccine trial has not been published, so it's hard to come to firm conclusions.

But scientists are very confident that this vaccine will work and that some version of it will arrive in the UK before too long.

Nothing in this pandemic is ever certain, but this latest news won't have shaken that optimism.