How Does First Citizens BancShares's (NASDAQ:FCNC.A) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the First Citizens BancShares (NASDAQ:FCNC.A) share price has dived 46% in the last thirty days. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 27% over that longer period.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. The implication here is that long term investors have an opportunity when expectations of a company are too low. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

See our latest analysis for First Citizens BancShares

Does First Citizens BancShares Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

First Citizens BancShares's P/E of 6.89 indicates relatively low sentiment towards the stock. We can see in the image below that the average P/E (8.7) for companies in the banks industry is higher than First Citizens BancShares's P/E.

NasdaqGS:FCNC.A Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 21st 2020
NasdaqGS:FCNC.A Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 21st 2020

First Citizens BancShares's P/E tells us that market participants think it will not fare as well as its peers in the same industry. Many investors like to buy stocks when the market is pessimistic about their prospects. If you consider the stock interesting, further research is recommended. For example, I often monitor director buying and selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Generally speaking the rate of earnings growth has a profound impact on a company's P/E multiple. If earnings are growing quickly, then the 'E' in the equation will increase faster than it would otherwise. That means even if the current P/E is high, it will reduce over time if the share price stays flat. So while a stock may look expensive based on past earnings, it could be cheap based on future earnings.

First Citizens BancShares increased earnings per share by an impressive 22% over the last twelve months. And its annual EPS growth rate over 5 years is 25%. With that performance, you might expect an above average P/E ratio.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

Don't forget that the P/E ratio considers market capitalization. Thus, the metric does not reflect cash or debt held by the company. In theory, a company can lower its future P/E ratio by using cash or debt to invest in growth.

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

First Citizens BancShares's Balance Sheet

First Citizens BancShares's net debt equates to 32% of its market capitalization. While that's enough to warrant consideration, it doesn't really concern us.

The Verdict On First Citizens BancShares's P/E Ratio

First Citizens BancShares trades on a P/E ratio of 6.9, which is below the US market average of 11.8. The EPS growth last year was strong, and debt levels are quite reasonable. If the company can continue to grow earnings, then the current P/E may be unjustifiably low. Given First Citizens BancShares's P/E ratio has declined from 12.7 to 6.9 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is more worried about the business today, than it was back then. For those who prefer invest in growth, this stock apparently offers limited promise, but the deep value investors may find the pessimism around this stock enticing.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. If it is underestimating a company, investors can make money by buying and holding the shares until the market corrects itself. We don't have analyst forecasts, but shareholders might want to examine this detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

You might be able to find a better buy than First Citizens BancShares. If you want a selection of possible winners, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20 (but have proven they can grow earnings).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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