The N0. 21 Texas A&M Aggies host the No. 4 Florida Gators in an SEC battle on Saturday afternoon in College Station. The Aggies (1-1) will look for a bounce-back win after falling short against No. 2 Alabama last week. The Gators will aim to continue their winning ways, as Florida enters this contest with a 2-0 record on the season. The programs have split their four all-time meetings with the Aggies winning 19-17 last time they met in 2017.
Kickoff from Kyle Field is scheduled for noon ET. After opening at -7, the Gators are now five-point road favorites, according to William Hill. The latest Florida vs. Texas A&M odds list the over-under at 58, up a point from the opening line. Before making any Texas A&M vs. Florida picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $4,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 20-3 on top-rated picks through five weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning over $1,300 in profit already. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Florida vs. Texas A&M. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill and trends for Texas A&M vs. Florida:
- Florida vs. Texas A&M spread: Florida -5
- Florida vs. Texas A&M over-under: 58 points
- Florida vs. Texas A&M money line: Florida -210, Texas A&M +180
- FLA: The Gators are 9-6 against the spread in the last 15 games
- A&M: The Aggies are 7-7 against the spread in the last 14 games
Why Florida can cover
With Heisman contender Kyle Trask leading the charge at quarterback, offense is the calling card for the Gators this season, but there are a few defensive strengths to rely on against Texas A&M. Florida ranks second in the SEC with eight sacks already this season, and Texas A&M is currently second-worst in the league in completion percentage, connecting on only 57.3 percent of their attempts. On the margins, Florida might have an advantage on special teams, with the second-best net punting average (48.7 yards per punt) in the SEC, and the Gators have committed only eight penalties this season, compared to 15 for the Aggies.
On the other side, Florida should be able to move the ball through the air, as Texas A&M is allowing a scary 10.4 yards per attempt this season. Finally, the Gators are above-average on third down so far this season, getting a first down on 52.6 percent of attempts, and Texas A&M is the second-worst team in the SEC in allowing opponents to convert 57.3 percent of the time on third down.
Why Texas A&M can cover
Florida has been tremendous in the first two games but, defensively, the Gators haven't played up to their talent level. Florida ranks as the second-worst defense in the SEC on a yardage basis, allowing 471 yards per game, and the Gators are giving up 327.5 passing yards per game. Texas A&M quarterback Kellen Mond, who has thrown for almost 8,000 yards and 56 touchdowns in his career, should be able to attack Florida's secondary, and Mond also has 1,351 rushing yards and 18 rushing touchdowns in his four-year tenure at the helm.
Elsewhere, the Aggies have been effective running the ball this season, averaging 5.2 yards per carry and ranking in the top five in the SEC at 149 yards per game. Texas A&M is also best in the conference at avoiding sacks, giving up only one in the first two weeks, and the Aggies are a top-five team in the SEC on third down, converting 51.9 percent of their chances.
How to make Florida vs. Texas A&M picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with Florida projected to be held under 100 yards rushing and Texas A&M projected for nearly as many interceptions as touchdown passes. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Florida vs. Texas A&M? And which side of the spread hits hits 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texas A&M vs. Florida spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up over $4,200 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.
