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Attendance: 32,068
Leicester logo
Premier League | Gameweek 27
Feb 22, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
 
Manchester City logo

0-1

FT(HT: 0-0)
Jesus (80')

Preview: Leicester City vs. Manchester City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Manchester City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Third will welcome second in the Premier League this weekend as Manchester City prepare to make the trip to Leicester City for what should be a fascinating contest.

Man City beat West Ham United 2-0 on Wednesday night to move four points clear of third-placed Leicester, who are nine points ahead of fourth-placed Chelsea in England's top flight.


Match preview

Leicester City manager Brendan Rodgers pictured in December 2019© Reuters

At one stage, it did appear that Leicester were in a Premier League title race, but Liverpool's stunning form this season has seen the Reds leave the rest of the competition behind.

The Foxes have enjoyed a very impressive campaign to date, though, and are in a strong position when it comes to securing Champions League football for the 2020-21 campaign. Indeed, they are comfortably third at the moment, nine points clear of fourth-placed Chelsea, who are struggling for form.

Brendan Rodgers's team sit 10 points clear of Tottenham Hotspur in fifth, meanwhile, demonstrating their strength when it comes to the Champions League spots.

It is almost one month since Leicester last won a game, though, which came away to Brentford in the FA Cup. Since then, they have lost to Aston Villa in the second leg of their EFL Cup semi-final, in addition to drawing back-to-back Premier League matches with Chelsea and Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Leicester City's James Maddison celebrates scoring their second goal on January 1, 2020© Reuters

The Foxes have not actually won in the league since beating West Ham United 4-1 on January 22, while they have been victorious in just one of their last eight games with Man City, suffering seven defeats in the process.

Indeed, Pep Guardiola's team recorded a 3-1 victory in the reverse game at the Etihad Stadium back in December, but Leicester ran out 2-1 winners when they last locked horns at the King Power Stadium in December 2018.

Leicester will follow this game with a trip to the league's basement side Norwich City on February 28 before welcoming Birmingham City in the FA Cup on March 4. Rodgers's team are certainly capable of winning England's biggest cup competition this season, and it will be fascinating to see how they perform in the latter stages of the tournament.

Pipping Man City to second spot would represent a wonderful campaign for Leicester, and they will certainly be the fresher of the two teams considering that the reigning champions played on Wednesday night.

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola on January 26, 2020© Reuters

Indeed, having seen their clash with West Ham earlier this month postponed due to bad weather, the fixture was rescheduled for Wednesday. It was the first time that the Citizens had taken to the field since news of their two-year Champions League suspension had been revealed.

The Hammers never threatened to make it an uncomfortable night for Guardiola's team, though, with Rodri and Kevin De Bruyne finding the back of the net in a 2-0 win.

The victory was important for Man City considering that they had entered the Premier League winter break off the back of a 2-0 defeat to Jose Mourinho's Tottenham in the English capital.

It remains to be seen what happens with the club's European suspension and subsequent appeal, but the players must remain focused as they will follow this weekend's clash with a European tie against Real Madrid.

Sergio Aguero celebrates scoring for Manchester City on December 29, 2019© Reuters

The English champions will travel to the Bernabeu on Wednesday night for the first leg of their last-16 clash in the Champions League. When the draw was made, Man City would have fancied their chances, but Madrid are currently top of La Liga and have Eden Hazard back from injury.

The Citizens will then open March with the EFL Cup final against Aston Villa before visiting Sheffield Wednesday in the FA Cup three days later. It is a very, very busy period of the season for the Manchester giants, who could still enjoy a brilliant campaign on the field despite concerns behind the scenes.

There is no getting away from the fact that the team have been short in the Premier League, though, having dropped points in nine of their 26 matches to sit 22 points behind leaders Liverpool in the table.

It is only a matter of time before Jurgen Klopp's team are crowned champions, but the race for second is very much open, and a poor result for the visitors this weekend would open the door for Leicester to pounce.

Leicester Premier League form: WLLWDD
Leicester form (all competitions): LWWLDD

Man City Premier League form: WWDWLW
Man City form (all competitions): DWWLLW


Team News

Manchester City's Raheem Sterling after suffering injury in the Premier League on February 2, 2020.© Reuters

Leicester will be without the services of Hamza Choudhury following the midfielder's red card against Wolves, while Nampalys Mendy and Daniel Amartey are still on the treatment table.

Key midfielder Wilfred Ndidi will also again miss out with the knee issue that has ruled him out of Leicester's last two Premier League matches with Chelsea and Wolves.

Dennis Praet could therefore come into the team in central midfield, but it is otherwise expected to be the same XI that started last time out with James Maddison, Harvey Barnes and Jamie Vardy all in the side.

As for Man City, Leroy Sane, Raheem Sterling and David Silva are all unavailable, but Oleksandr Zinchenko could return having served a one-game domestic suspension.

The fact that the English champions will take on Madrid next week means that Guardiola is expected to shuffle his pack for this match, with Joao Cancelo and Riyad Mahrez both expected to feature.

Fernandinho could also return in central defence with Aymeric Laporte, who has only just returned from a long-term knee injury, likely to be rested ahead of the trip to the Bernabeu.

Bernardo Silva and Sergio Aguero should both keep their spots in the final third, while Guardiola is also expected to resist the temptation to rest De Bruyne.

Leicester possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Ricardo, Evans, Soyuncu, Chilwell; Perez, Tielemans, Praet, Maddison, Barnes; Vardy

Man City possible starting lineup:
Ederson; Cancelo, Otamendi, Fernandinho, Zinchenko; Gundogan, De Bruyne, Rodri; Mahrez, Aguero, Bernardo


Head To Head

Man City lead the overall head to head 60 wins to Leicester's 30, while there have also been 29 draws between the two teams throughout history.

As mentioned, the Citizens have dominated the recent meetings between the pair, winning seven of their last eight matches in all competitions, including a 3-1 victory at the Etihad earlier this season.

Leicester have beaten Man City twice at the King Power Stadium in the league since the start of the 2015-16 campaign, though, and ran out 2-1 winners in the corresponding game last term.


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Leicester 1-1 Man City

Man City's recent record over Leicester will hand them a lot of confidence, but Guardiola might feel that his side have bigger fish to fry as they prepare to head to Spain. Leicester's league form has not exactly been terrific in recent weeks, although we still expect the Foxes to pick up a point on home soil.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 63.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a win it was 1-0 (4.8%).


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David Silva celebrates scoring for Man City on October 19, 2019
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